The Philadelphia Inquirer’s Jeremy Roebuck, John Duchneskie, and Dan Hardy recently unearthed a troubling sign for President Obama as he prepares for his reelection. According to the trio “A wave of support from Philadelphia’s historically moderate suburbs helped push Barack Obama into the White House in 2008. But if the latest fund-raising totals are any indication, his grip on those crucial swing counties may be slipping.”
Through an examination of recent fundraising totals in the Philadelphia’s suburbs, President Obama is nearly tied with his Republican rivals for the presidency.
In 2008, an overwhelming amount of support from Philadelphia, helped Obama to surpass rival John McCain’s vote total in the state. A significant additional help for then Senator Obama, was also an unusually strong show support for a Democrat candidate in the surrounding subburbs of Philly within Montgomery, Bucks, Chester, and Delaware Counties. These areas usually help offset the large plurality of votes that Democrats normally get in Southeast Pennsylvania and if they offset them enough, Republicans have a good chance of winning the swing state. Such was the case with last years gubernatorial election victory of Republican Tom Corbet.
The fact that President Obama is only $36,000 ahead of of Republicans in fundraising at this point in time, is a strong indication that he is not positioned for winning Pennsylvania’s electoral votes any where near as well as he was in 2008.
Without Pennsylvania in his column, President Obama’s chances for being reelected are extremely limited.
In fact if you assume President Obama wins the typically blue states and also give him Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Illinois, and keep swing states like Ohio, Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada in the undecided column, it is virtually impossible for the President to win the 270 electoral votes needed to win reelection. [see map below]
Filed under: General Issues & Events, President Obama | Tagged: 2012 presidentioal election, Barack Obama, conservative websites, Dan Hardy, Jeremy Roebuck, John Duchneskie, John McCain, obama, Obama in trouble in Philadelphia suburbs, Obama reelection chances, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Philadelphia Inquirer, political websites, Republican, Republican presidential candidate fundraising filings, Suburban for President Obama, WH12, white 2012, White House, wordpress political blogs |