In an interview with The Associated Press, Bachmann stated;
“I’m looking forward to coming back and bringing a strong, powerful voice to Washington, D.C.,”
The announcement hardly came as a surprise and was anticipated by White House 2012 as far back as October of 2011 when I wrote “while Bachmann may indeed be sincere about her desire to run only for President, she knows very well that she will probably be running for reelection to the House.”
Despite being a little slow, even Ken Martin, chairman of Minnesota’s Democratic-Farmer Labor Party, who admitted the announcement wasn’t a surprise and he told the Associate Press that his Party would take advantage of the time that Bachmann spent campaigning for President and attack he attack her for being absent from the district and for missing votes in Washington as she she pursued higher office.
Meanwhile, Bachman’s decision to drop out of the President race and run for reelection to her Minnesota congressional seat also came as little surprise to Minnesota Republicans. Several likely likely successors had been preparing to replace her as the Republican nominee for her House seat, but none had actually officially declared their candidacies because they all accurately anticipated the set of circumstances which lead to Bachmann’s running for reelection.
As for who Democrats will run against Bachmann, that is still unclear. While the Congresswoman has proved quite formidable in the past, she did only win by 53% in her last election, but at the same time she raised $13.5 million, a sum larger than that of any of her fellow House colleagues. Another advantage Bachmann will have in her reelection effort is that her 2010 Democratic opponent, Tarryl Clark, has decided to challenge freshman Republican Rep. Chip Cravaack and will not attempt a rematch with Bachmann. On the flip side, one disadvantage that Bachmann will have in 2012 is redistricting. Her current district will have to shrink in size and how that is done through Gerrymandering could make her new district a more liberal one than she currently has.
In the final analysis, I think conservatives will be able to count on Michele Bachmann having their back in the next Congress. Between her name I.D., fundraising strength, and tenacity as a campaigner, Bachmann should win at least a fourth term. The question is, will she actually get sworn in, or might she just accept a cabinet position in the next Republican presidential Administration?
Bachmann is not very liked by the establishment Republican leadership in the House and it is quite possible that John Boehner might push the idea of appointing Bachmann to a semi-high position in the next Administration for no other reason than to get her out of their hair and avoid her rocking establishment boat. It’s the type of thing that happens all the time and which I can easily see President Obama or President Gingrich saying to John Boehner, “alright, but you owe me big time for this one”.
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