Republicans are preparing to come to a rugby game in their best golf pants.
The world is different than it was in 2008 when we were caught with a war candidate going into an election that was all about the economy. This time we have the best business man money can buy and we are about to go into an election that is all about the constitution, social issues, personal freedom, and the size of government.
Yes, I know. Today the economy still sucks. However, with the expanded power of the Fed and the Presidency, we are going to see just how much the President actually can affect it in the short term. For example, leading into the 2010 election, the Fed had over $2 trillion in stock securities on their balance sheet and Wall Street was inflated. Mainstream Media and administration spokespeople called that Obama’s summer of recovery. Obama also ramped up federal spending and provided tons of government jobs. Unemployment, as it is in our current “recovery”, remained mostly unmoved. Despite all the tax hikes hidden in Obamacare, Obama said he was a tax cutter.
So why did we win big in 2010? Social conservatives, lead by the TEA Party, made the election about deficit spending, constitutional rights, social issues, and personal freedom.
I keep hearing that only Romney can win because only Romney is focusing on the economy. But Romney’s solutions on the economy include a redistributive tax policy that hits up the top 1% and a plan to increase the minimum wage and price low skilled labor out of the work force. So why is Romney the economic guru who can save us? Because he is a successful businessman. But that won’t get voters to the polls in 2012, especially when Obama sinks another trillion dollars in imaginary money into the economy this summer to make the election about what Americans really care about: social issues.
Think about it this way. How much more would you pay in extra taxes if it meant abortion would be made illegal? Or legal, if that is your preference. Democrats are willing to pay a great deal to force everyone to cover birth control and abortion pills. I don’t think most Democrats have realized yet just how much Obamacare is going to cost them in higher insurance premiums. The only Democrats who don’t know that Obamacare is all about social issues and government usurpation of personal freedom are still waiting for insurance rates to magically fall. I have bad news for them.
Obama and his energy secretary have openly admitted that they want to let oil prices keep going up so that Americans will stop using oil. I don’t know about you, but I can’t put wind, solar, coal, nuclear, ethanol, or algae in my gas tank. And I’ve already inflated my tires. That’s ok though because it’s not about the economy, stupid. It’s about social issues. It’s about greenhouse gasses and global warming and Obama is going to win on that because Romney is focusing on the economy. Instead of fighting Obama on the social issue of whether the government should steal our freedom to protect us from made up scientific threats, Romney will be talking about how he is the best guy to grow the economy.
When the economy is artificially inflated this fall and “I’m the best candidate to grow the economy” rings hollow, what will we have left? Don’t be fooled, Obama is already running on social issues. Obama and his party are fighting for big government that will take care of and coddle every poor voter they can get their hands on. What will we have? Someone who will promise those poor coddled voters that he will provide them with the opportunity to work hard and be successful? That’ll get the moderates to the polls.
In general, Americans oppose taxpayer funded abortion. They oppose federally mandated gay marriage. They oppose federally mandated funding for abortion. They oppose big government and big deficits. They oppose the current size of government. They oppose the President stealing their rights in the name of coddling them. These are TEA party issues, not establishment issues.
2012 isn’t about the economy. At least it won’t be. We’re about to run the wrong candidate, again, based on January issues for a November election. What will get people to the polls in November is whether we want a President who will prevent taxpayer funded abortion, or a President who once voted to let doctors perform abortions after the baby is born. Where do you stand?
The worst possible scenario for Republicans in 2012 will be a race where a significant percentage of Americans don’t care who wins or think the candidates aren’t that far apart. We saw that in 2008. The only way Republicans will win in 2012 is if we run a distinctly conservative candidate who gives Americans a clear choice. Vote for the radical Liberal or the radical Conservative. The more moderate a candidate we run, the more moderate Obama will look in comparison.
If the moderates stay home in 2012 and the 40% of conservatives beat the 20% of liberals in the country, I’m ok with that. The strategy of getting the moderate vote and praying the 40% of conservatives will hold their nose and show up is a sure loser.
Filed under: Mitt Romney, Polls, Strategy | Tagged: 2012, 2012 primary, abortion, Barack Obama, chu, coal, Constitution, constitutional, Debt, deficit, economy, fall, gas prices, gas tank, january, Mitt Romney, not the economy, november, nuclear, obama, Obamacare, oil, personal freedom, President, Primary, Romney, social issues, solar, spending, stimulus, summer, summer of recovery, super tuesday, tarp, trillion, wind |