Is There A Darker Side To The Patraeus Scandal?

The idea that retired General David Patraeus has been suddenly “caught” in an affair so scandalous it warrants his resignation is preposterous. Men and women of power and celebrity have entourages. They have groupies. A little bump and grind is one of the perks of power.

The guy is a retired career military man. He was the Director of the CIA. He was a man of power, a man with personal connections. He was a man with government resources at his disposal.  Do you actually believe this kind of man is going to resign because of an affair?

Behind the curtain, propagandists constantly use the “sex scandal” and “lone gunman” story to explain events. So predictable is this, it is laughable. That the American sheeple buy into these manufactured soap operas time and time again, is just sad.

What about Paula Broadwell? She is not just some freelance writer that landed a man of elite power for a biography. We know she is a West Point graduate. She has a master’s degree in international security. She has active-duty military experience. Have you seen her? She’s fit and ripped. She once considered joining the FBI. There’s little doubt she has an active role within the military or intelligence community.

And Jill Kelley, the “victim” of threatening emails, is more than a Florida socialite. She got an appointment as honorary Korean consul in Florida. It seems she regularly hobnobs within the Florida political circles.

And what about the other top dogs that have recently been put down? The casualty list includes Rear Admiral Charles M. Gaouette, US Army General Carter Ham, Brigadier General Jeffery A. Sinclair, and US Navy Commander Joseph E. Darlak. Did you know about them?

On October 27, ABCnews ran a story about Rear Admiral Charles M. Gaouette getting yanked off an aircraft carrier patrolling the waters of the Middle East due to an investigation regarding “inappropriate leadership judgment”. Conveniently, no other details were provided.

On October 31, the DOD issued a press release regarding General Ham’s departure. In it, Army Gen. Martin E. Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, felt compelled to say that “The speculation that General Carter Ham is departing Africa Command due to events in Benghazi, Libya, on [Sept. 11,] 2012 is absolutely false,” he said. “General Ham’s departure is part of routine succession planning that has been ongoing since July.”

And it was reported by CBS that on November 2, Commander Darlak was relieved of duty for throwing a big bash on his big boat.

Hearings began November 5, against Brigadier General Sinclair. RT.com ripped him up big time in a piece dated November 6, hinting he is a power-crazed sex fiend. In fact, so serious is this that the AP reported “Eugene R. Fidell of Yale Law School expects the case to lead to a reduction in rank and forced retirement for Sinclair.” Apparently, Sinclair’s fiendish sexual behavior is just too sick and twisted for a jail cell. No, it is much better to force his retirement and have him prowl the population.

So, we have a General close to Benghazi announce a “routine” retirement. We have a Rear Admiral patrolling waters in the Middle East removed for an “inappropriate leadership” investigation. We have a party animal that turned his ship into Animal House. We have a sex fiend and now we have Patraeus, the unfaithful husband. All unfolding within about six weeks.

Is all this just an unconnected series of events or is this an orchestrated purging?

Well, let’s think it through. What type of activity warrants the removal of a General, Admiral, Commander and a CIA Director?

A fight over entitlement policy at a White House dinner party? A fight is a good start. But you need to push yourself a little more. How about a fight over power and influence within the top levels of our government and military?

Now we’re getting somewhere.

And to whom do all these men answer? The Commander-in-Chief, of course, the supreme ruler himself.

So it seems President Obama may have purged some top military men and his CIA Director. But why?

Benghazi?

Perhaps. Four Americans are dead. Something went horribly wrong. There is talk of gun-running. There is also talk that the Benghazi annex was actually a CIA take and torture facility, pardon me, detain and question facility. There is also the story that Ambassador Stevens was killed accidentally during a false flag kidnapping. Obama was going to “rescue” the Ambassador in October to pump up Americans for their vote. Whatever the real story, Benghazi was scandalous. Is Obama, as a good guy, dumping Petraeus and the others — cleaning house, so to speak — because of ineptitude and incompetence? That story works. Obama lovers will buy into that.

The great thing is you can flip it, too. The administration has been ducking the issue for two months. Maybe the false flag kidnapping is closer to the truth. Perhaps Obama is the bad guy and it was his dreadful mistake(s) regarding Benghazi that led to the deaths and he feels to survive politically, he needs to purge the men that know the details. That story works. Obama detractors will buy into that.

Either scenario works, doesn’t it? Is it A or B?

And it is that choice, A or B, that is the best indicator that all this probably has very little to do with Benghazi.

It is the classic presentation of false choices. You’re dedicating your time trying to solve for A or B, but you forget that A and B were presented to you as your choices, so you do not explore option C. Or option D.

Shall we go there?

If Benghazi has nothing or very little to do with the purge, what else could be the spark? We know the combatants are Obama versus some military men. Could Obama’s power have been threatened? Could these military men have concluded that Obama’s unconstitutional ways and his lawless government have gone too far? Perhaps, as part of their oath to protect America, they were conspiring to remove Obama from power. But before they met with success Obama discovered the plot and the purge began. In short, was there an attempted coup d’état?

Outrageous? Not really. Do you actually think America is immune to the struggle over power? American presidents and elite political leaders — Lincoln, Garfield, JFK, King, Malcolm X, RFK and others — have been and will continue to be assassinated. And if you actually believe the absurd “lone gunman” scenarios the propaganda press slaps on each and every one of these assassinations, stop here and re-join the herd of sheeple at the barn because you are part of the problem. The destruction of political rivals is part of the power game.

Politics is just as dirty in America as any other country. It is probably worse given the country’s global stature. The only difference between the American political power struggle and those of other countries is that the media in America is a vast propaganda machine. It is an active player within the struggle for power.

Ultimately, a coup is just as credible a scenario as the “Benghazi purge” or the “series of random events” scenario. It is actually more credible if you admit to yourself the media is participating in the power struggle for America and therefore it has a vested interest in distorting details, spinning events and keeping you in the dark.

And by the way, you can flip this “topple Obama” scenario, too. What if Obama, Petraeus and the others are all actually on the same team? That would mean there is another team, somewhere within the military and intelligence community, that is initiating these scandals to try to bring them all down. If this is the case, then this team seems to be making progress.

Is the Petraeus scandal and the recent military purges the result of  Obama removing incompetent men? Or is Obama at fault and he is purging men with direct knowledge of his miss-steps? Is Benghazi, although a real event, being used as a side-show to hide Americans from the fact that there is a very serious and dangerous internal struggle for power occurring within their government? Or, as the media portray it, is the downfall of a General, Admiral, Commander and CIA Director just unrelated events that happen to occur within six weeks of each other?

Which scenario do you think Russia, China, Israel, Britain and the rest of the world believe?

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Obama Orders Institutionalized Private Sector Spying

As is his habit to avoid public outcry during the work week news cycle, on Friday, October 26, the supreme ruler signed another executive order giving Big Brother more authority to stick his nose into your life.

The Homeland Security Partnership Council will allow the Department of Homeland Security to infuse itself into local government and private enterprises thus creating a spy network that will allow snort and sniff behaviors within schools, community groups, local institutions and businesses.

The purpose of this order is to maximize the Federal Government’s ability to develop local partnerships in the United States to support homeland security priorities…to use resources more efficiently, build on one another’s expertise, drive innovation, engage in collective action, broaden investments to achieve shared goals.

In street language this means Homeland Security will use private sector expertise (sales and marketing databases, membership lists, security cameras, etc) to support “homeland security priorities” (spying on citizens) and will spend money (broaden investments) to do it. Note that the order actually states the phrase “engage in collective action.”

The idea that records from Amazon or Walmart, private clubs, banks, churches, hobby shops, schools, shopping mall stores and so on will now be tied into Homeland Security is creepy stuff.

And check out this nugget, “”[W]e must institutionalize an all-of-Nation effort to address the evolving threats to the United States,”

The government is going to institutionalize domestic spying using private sector resources. This should send a shiver down your spine. Think on it for a moment. How many discount cards do you or your spouse have? How many times do you provide your zip code, or phone number, or email address when you purchase something? And don’t forget all your financial transactions. All of it now in the hands of government.

There are no requirements for evidence, charges or warrants. They get your information simply because they declare they do. No matter how you slice it, monitoring phone calls and emails and compiling what, where and when a citizen buys something is not the role of a constitution-based government. This is serious stuff.

But it is not surprising.

Just this year, the government has passed a law that allows the supreme ruler to select citizens for detention or assassination. He must have this ability for “national defense”, don’t you know. In February, conducting protests too close to a government official or event (conveniently the distance isn’t defined) was outlawed.

In March, the supreme ruler signed an executive order giving himself the authority to take over all national resources (water, food, industry, etc.), again, as long as he says it is for “national defense.” And during the summer, Big Brother declared he could appoint more government officials without confirmation hearings. There are more examples but you get the point. It has been a good year for tyrannical government.

Big Brother is out of control, crusaders. Open your eyes. The police state is here, the clampdown is occurring. The question is when will you admit it to yourself?

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Dealing With The Post-Election Blues

The election loss hurt, yes? Many of you poured your heart and soul into it. Dedicating that much time and emotional commitment into something without getting a payoff is painful. I know of a conservative writer that was so emotionally devastated that she announced yesterday she is unplugging her keyboard and walking away. And just this morning, I received an email from a conservative blogger that has made a similar decision. His blog will go dormant as of today.

Clearly, Mitt Romney and the defeated Republican congressional candidates are not the only casualties of this fight.

Your frustration and sense of loss is understandable.

How can we have four years of 8% unemployment, three consecutive $1 trillion deficits, $6 trillion added to the national debt and the man in charge actually keeps his job? How can you have a majority of people claim they are against Obama-care yet the individual most responsible for it, gets re-elected? It is bewildering.

Even seasoned professionals were at a loss. Yesterday, a national conservative voice was lamenting we had lost our country.

And Sean Hannity promoted the idea that government is only a piece of your life therefore, deal with it and move on. The problem with that is Hannity has a nice six figure job. For the near future, regardless of who is president, he can still buy his steak, take his luxury vacations, keep his kids in private school and pay his mortgage. Many of us cannot.

Government is indeed only a part of everyone’s life. The problem is Big Brother is becoming a larger part of everyone’s lives and he is oppressive by nature. Four more years is a long time to worry about paychecks. And if the day arrives when Hannity is forced from the airwaves by a government that chokes off free speech, he has less to fear because he has accumulated his millions. Frankly, given his financial situation, he has a lot of nerve promoting the idea we should let this defeat roll off our shoulders. From a man that makes his very living from advertising dollars generated by our listening ears, the idea is as hypocritical as it is insulting. Yesterday, I was forced to turn him off.

But Hannity isn’t–and will not be–the only one calling for restraint. It is now, while you are exhausted and empty, when you can expect more attacks. A herd of RINOs, the Left and all manner of talking-head opportunists will try to re-sell the “anti-conservative” narrative. You have heard it before—that conservatives must re-think their positions or the tea party is too radical or it is destroying the Republican party and so and on. This is guaranteed. The propaganda press will see to it. But do not be fooled. It is a tactic. This is what they do. And Obama and the Democrats are likely to push some initiative or make a political play. You are an enemy and you are tired and vulnerable and they will try to turn the screws.

It is because these bugs will come out of the cracks that you know conservatives are on the right path. We are still a threat. Merely flip the coin, crusaders, and you will see the other side.

Yes, we lost the 2012 presidential election. But, we have not lost our country. That may happen but it did not occur Tuesday. Consider we had a “Massachusetts moderate” as our presidential candidate. Some will claim that establishment Republicans coordinated that — forced Romney upon us, so to speak. Perhaps. But it is irrelevant. And here is a critical point–we don’t have a conservative candidate ready yet. We are just three years-old. To think we could just insert a candidate into the presidential race is naive. A run at the presidency is the big time. And to be successful, certain requirements must be met.

First, a candidate must be identified and elected to office. This is not as easy as it sounds. Todd Akin, Richard Mourdock and other “tea party” candidates demonstrate this.

Once elected, they have to serve some time. Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rand Paul and many others were not ready for the 2012 presidential race. Michelle Backmann and Rick Santorum went for it. Each had a few powerful moments but ultimately, most of you would agree, neither was ready. However, lots of these folks will be ready for 2016. Still, even after seasoning up a bit, these politicians must also want to run for president. Some do and some don’t. Developing a presidential candidate takes some time. But that doesn’t mean conservatives can’t throw their weight around while we wait.

And we have. As a candidate, Romney knew who was buttering his bread. He put on the conservative suit during the primaries. It just didn’t fit real well. Romney did his best so do not fault him. But a RINO or a moderate is not a conservative. Our language just doesn’t roll off their tongues in meaningful and persuasive ways. You can bet because of this some conservatives and libertarians stayed at home on election day. Unfortunately, when you’re playing a game for national power you need every single vote. And that brings us to the next point—our opponent.

Contrary to the ill-informed, Obama is no beginner. He may not have the career longevity of some of the ancient statues still in Washington, but he is no amateur. Team Obama is a political machine. They are politics every day, every hour and every minute. They play to win. You don’t get to the national level of power if you don’t play for keeps. Remember that Team Obama beat RINO McCain badly in the 2008 election and yet, our young movement almost bested them. Obama has an ego and no doubt, he felt secure going up against moderate Mitt representing a novice movement. One can argue this is the reason, or part of the reason, Obama failed to prepare for the first debate. But when he took a thumping, and our enthusiasm soared, Team Obama took notice. So, too, did the lame-stream media. And that is another consideration.

Our opponent in this election was helped considerably by the propaganda press. They wanted Obama to win and they acted that way. And like the two political parties, the media has been around a long time. They are veterans that know how to exploit every awkward comment or twist any vague concept. If you need proof, just ask Romney, Bachmann, Akin, Mourdock, Allen West and any other conservative what damage the bent and biased media can do. The media is also capable of hiding or spinning any events that hurt their candidate. Obama obviously benefited from this.

Yes, we lost. But not all is lost. The fact is, fighting against the bully pulpit and the Obama political machine and a heavily biased media is an uphill battle for the most seasoned politician. Our movement is only three years-old. We have had just two elections—2010 and 2012—and yet we have shaken Democrats and establishment Republicans to their core and we have rattled the pillars of power.

Yes, we lost this election. But just like Bunker Hill, Gettysburg and Normandy were all battles within a larger war, so too this election. The war we fight is the restoration of a constitutional America. Defeating Obama was one of many battles we will be required to fight. We are a young movement—enthusiastic and idealistic—and this loss hurts.

For now, step back if you need to, treat your wounds and re-charge your soul. Do not listen to the mocking from the Left. Disregard their teasing. Ignore any “advice” spewed forth by the propagandists about our political positions. Our tactics need a little improvement and our leaders need a little seasoning but our goal—a return to a constitutional America—is beyond reproach.

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President Romney: Candy Crowley’s Freudian Slip

Bookmark and Share  Candy Crowley is known for jumping the gun on her conclusions.  In the presidential debate she moderated she even took sides as she interjected herself in to the debate by claiming President Obama did call the attack in Benghazi an act of terrorism, even though he didn’t.  But today, on her Sunday morning CNN talk show, Crowley accidentally let slip the phrase “President Romney”.  Crowley quickly corrected herself but before backtracking, did she let the cat out of the bag making with a slip of the tongue that used a phrase she was subconsciously thinking about an accidentally substituted for the title that she meant to give Governor Romney?  Probably not, but it was good practice for Crowley who in less than 48 hours, will have to get use to saying “President-Elect Romney”.

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Unions Impeding New Jersey’s Recovery From Hurricane Sandy

   Bookmark and Share  This is why unions suck.  As nearly a million people remain without power in storm ravaged New Jersey,  utility crews from throughout the country who have generously traveled to the Garden State to provide much needed assistance in the state’s recovery effort, have been told by crews in New Jersey that they can’t help because they are not union employees.

This is precisely why unions have become only slightly more popular than cancer.

While they once had a very necessary purpose that rightly protected the rights of workers, an endless array of federal and state laws have long since been enacted to serve that purpose and in most cases do.  However, nowadays unions are no longer fulfilling a need to protects workers rights, today they are serving the greed and desires of union bosses and mindless dues paying members who are more concerned with hoarding overtime pay for themselves than they are with the well being of the public who provide their salaries and whom they are suppose to be serving

Supporting this claim is the fact that here in New Jersey a utility crew from Huntsville Utilities out of Alabama was headed toward Seaside Heights, New Jersey, one of the hardest hit coastal communities to pounded by Hurricane Sandy.  But before they got there, New Jersey utility crews turned them away because their workers were non-union, and the New Jersey crews are only allowing unionized crews to assist.

If there was ever a better example of just how detrimental contemporary unions have become to our nation, this is it folks.

People are suffering here in New Jersey and yet unions are refusing to speed up the process that could at least alleviate some of that suffering because the people who are willing to help are not union members.

President Obama promised to do everything to make sure that no red tape got in the way of recovery efforts.  Well now is his chance to deliver on that promise.  Unions are in his back pocket.  The two are tighter than thieves when it comes to soaking the public for all their worth.  So perhaps now is a good time for the President to use his influence and denounce the reprehensible and irresponsible conduct of unions.  Because right now  his union buddies are strangling the millions of people in New Jersey suffering in the wake of Hurricane Sandy with the same red tape he promised to cut through.

And by the way, Governor Christie isn’t off the hook on this either.  His big mouth is more than large enough to address this issue loudly and clearly, and if he doesn’t… there is no reason why someone else can’t be given the Republican nomination for Governor next year.

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Obama Finds the Writing on the Wall in the Sands of the Jersey Shore

Bookmark and Share  On Wednesday, as Barack Obama flew over the devastated coastal section of storm ravaged New Jersey , the White House Press pool released video of the truly heart wrenching images that the President saw.  But as he approached Point Pleasant, one of the locales hardest by Hurricane Sandy, he saw something that the White House advance team missed.  It was the oversized writing in the sand of the name “Romney”.

While the writing in the sands of New Jersey are not a likely indication of which way New Jersey’s electoral votes will go, what it is representative of is the the level of enthusiasm that Romney supporters have for their candidate.   It’s a level of enthusiasm and energy that just might prove to make the difference in the presidential election in several key states such as Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Iowa and Nevada, where the depth of support Romney’s supporters have for Mitt, runs deeper than the level of support and amount of energy and enthusiasm that Obama supporters have for President Obama.

The amount of enthusiasm that supporters have for their candidate is a key component behind the success of any campaign’s Get-Out-The-Vote operation.  GOTV efforts increase the number of the campaign’s supporters who will vote for their candidate in the election.  Typically, the more enthusiastic supporters are for their candidate, the more of them a campaign can “Get-Out-To-Vote” for its candidate.  In 2012, as demonstrated by the Romney voters behind this message for the President in Point Pleasant, Romney supporters are quite passionate in their support of Mitt.

So while the writing in the sand that President Obama saw may not turn back the tide when it comes to which way heavily Democratic New Jersey will vote on November 6th, it was a sign of the writing on the wall that awaits the President when it comes to the collective results of all the sates in the nation.

Meanwhile as the President took time to visit New Jersey as it was trying to recover from Hurricane Sandy, many New Jerseyans like myself are still wondering what good President Obama’s visit did for the Garden State.

Aside from consuming the time and energy of government resources that might have been better used on other pressing matters confronting the people of New Jersey, the visit really did nothing but cost taxpayers money. Yet President Obama decided to “act” presidential and visit the Garden State as New Jerseyans began to piece their lives back together.  From my vantage point here in New Jersey where life has just become much harder, the President’s visit served one purpose and one purpose only.  It allowed the President to act presidential, somenthing which is a change of pace for Obama, who in recent weeks has been acting anything but presidential on the campaign trail where his big issues have been Big Bird, bayonets, and binders, or in the Oval Office where on issues such as Benghazi instead of allowing the buck to stop with him, he has been passing the buck.

Which is why for me, the best part of President Obama’s P.R. stunt was the blunt New Jersey-style, in-your-face, message written for the President amid the ruins of the Jersey Shore.  It proved to me that if Romney supporters are willing to take the time to write Romney’s name in the sands savaged by a super-storm, than they will certainly be turning out to vote for Romney in the quiet calm of the voting booth.

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Guide For Watching Election Night Results

   Bookmark and Share  The following is a schedule of the times that polls close in each of the states and the District of Columbia.  Keep in mind that many states are in between time zones.  This means that polls in certain parts of these states close an hour earlier than in other portions of each state.  However; the networks and their cable affiliates can not by law, officially call a state for any candidate until all the polls in that state have closed.  The times indicated here reflect the time when all polling sites in each state have officially closed.

In addition to these closing times, White House 2012 offers a timeline which includes when each state will probably be projected for Governor Romney or President Obama and it also provides an estimated running total of the Electoral College vote that each candidate probably will have at the top and bottom of each hour.

Throughout the day, the networks will be conducting exit polls.  By law they cannot reveal what the results of these polls are.  However; once voting has stopped, the networks can start using these exit polls to make their projections.  If there exit polls did not show a clear a winner in a state, that state may not be called right away.  In this election, expect that to be the case in several states.  The following timeline offers a prediction of approximately when each state will be called.

Of course there is a very good possibility that in several states, a combination of irregularities and extremely close vote totals could prohibit them from being projected for hours, days or even weeks.  If the race is actually as close  as we are being led to believe by the mainstream media in places like Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, Wisconsin, Florida, and Ohio, it could be a long night.  However, Wh12 believes that most states will be called promptly and that the longest delay we may see in the official projection of a state will be an hour or an hour and a half.  And the two most likely states for such a delay are Ohio and Wisconsin, where the election could actually be as tight as predicted.

7:00 pm Eastern Standard Time:

At 7:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time, the first 6 states and 60 electoral votes in the presidential election could be called.  Unless there is a surprise result in the works, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, and South Carolina should quickly be called for Governor Romney, while Vermont is quickly called for President Obama.   Media outlets probably will not be quick to call Virginia.  That may not happen till some time around 8:00 pm.  But if the official returns show Romney with a lead in certain key districts within Virginia and their exit polls showed similar trends throughout the state, Virginia could be called relatively quickly.  If it is, expect it to be  a very good sign of who will win the election.  An early projection for one candidate or the other here would be a good sign that whoever won is running much stronger than expected, not just in Virginia but nationally as well.

Obama 3 / Romney 44+ (not including Virginia)

Possible Surprises:

If Virginia is called for Romney within a half an hour of 7:00, it would be a clear indication that the race in Virginia was not quite as close as some expected and a sign of just how inaccurate polling has been due to their use of 2008 turnout models, a decision which significantly underestimates Romney’s strength.  It would also be a sure sign that Romney is probably doing far better nationally than most analysts thought possible.

7:30 pm Eastern Standard Time:

On the half hour, polls close in North Carolina, West Virginia and Ohio.  Expect West Virginia to be called for Romney about one second after the polls close there.  North Carolina may take a little longer.  If it is called before 8:00 pm, that will be another sign of a strong night for Romney.

Obama 3 / Romney 49+ (not including Virginia, North Carolina, and Ohio)

The Ohio Factor:

Based upon White House 2012’s analysis and projection, if Romney wins Ohio he is certain to win the election.  If he does not win Ohio, Romney still has a good chance pulling a victory off.  That said, unless exit polling from throughout the day indicates a much stronger than expected show of support for one candidate or the other, the networks are not likely to call Ohio for at least an hour.

If Ohio is called early for Obama, it could be a sign that Romney is underperforming.  It would also indicate that Obama may be benefiting from a last minute surge that could possibly play out in other battleground states in the region, such as Iowa and Wisconsin.

If Ohio is called early for Romney, start playing Hail to the Chief for him.  Not only would a quick call of Ohio for Romney  mean that he is running much stronger than he was expected in Ohio but nationally as well.  Furthermore, according to the White House 2012 analysis, President Obama can not win the Electoral College vote without Ohio in his column.

8:00 pm Eastern Standard Time:

At 8:00 pm Eastern Standard Time, the results of 17 states and 172 electoral votes are to be determined.  The only surprises that could possibly occur within this set of poll closings exists in Florida, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania.

Obama 99 / Romney 92+ (not including Virginia, North Carolina, and Ohio)

Pennsylvania:

In Pennsylvania the surprise could be that it is not called for President Obama within a half hour of 8:00 pm.  If it is not called for the President by 8:30 pm, it will be another sign that the election is much tighter than anticipated in a state that should be solidly behind the President, and that he is in trouble.  While Pennsylvania should ultimately go for President Obama, in the small outside chance that it goes to Romney, the election will over and so is the presidency of Barack Obama. Given the certainty in how the bulk of other states are going, it is impossible for Barack Obama to reach the 270 electoral votes he needs to win reelection without Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes in his column.

New Hampshire:

New Hampshire is suppose to be close and while most polls give President Obama a slim lead there, White House 2012 is confident that these polls are over-estimating Democrat turnout by incorporating the 2008 turnout models into their 2012 polls.  This is a main reason why WH12 believes Governor Romney will ultimately win New Hampshire.  The only surprise here will be whether or not New Hampshire is called quickly for Romney.  If Romney is having a better night than expected, New Hampshire will be called for him within 15 or 20 minutes.  If President Obama happens to win New Hampshire, all this will actually mean is that Romney may not win with the electoral landslide that WH12 anticipates.

Florida:

Here again, an early call for either Romney or Obama will be quite telling.  In addition to proving the race is not as close as we have been led to believe, if it goes to Barack Obama, Mitt Romney is in trouble.  If it goes to Romney, the night is not over, but the fat lady will be warming her vocal chords up to offer a a final musical tribute the Obama years.  The only real surprise in Florida will be whether or not it is called for Romney early.  If  Florida is called for Romney within a half hour of polls closing, consider that to be further indication of Romney  outperforming  expectations nationally and a good sign that he will be President-Elect before the night is over.

Late Call in North Carolina and Virginia:

During the  8 o’clock hour, if North Carolina and Virginia had not yet be called for Romney, they will be.  If Florida, Ohio and New Hampshire still have not been projected for either candidate, late projections for Romney in Virginia and North Carolina would bring his total electoral vote count to 120.  At this same point, President Obama will have 99 electoral votes.

Obama 99 / Romney 120+ (not counting Florida, New Hampshire and Ohio)

8:30 pm Eastern Standard Time:

No race here.  Arkansas should be called for the Romney-Ryan ticket before the clock hits 8:31 pm.

Obama 99 / Romney 126+ (not counting Florida, New Hampshire and Ohio)

Late Calls from Ohio, New Hampshire

Somewhere between 8:30 and 9:00 pm, unless exit polls indicated that Romney was running much stronger than expected and the networks already called them, Ohio and New Hampshire should be projected for Romney.

That would leave us with;

Obama 99 / Romney 148+  (not counting Florida)

9:00 pm Eastern Standard Time:

**Romney declared the winner sometime during this hour**

13 states and 153 electoral votes will be determined during the 9 o’clock hour.  60 of them are likely to go to president Obama and at least 83 will be won by Mitt Romney.

Obama 159 / Romney 231 (not including Florida and Wisconsin)

Watch Out For Wisconsin and Michigan:

Both of these states have long been considered solid blue states for the Obama-Biden ticket but in the closing days of the campaign they have become much closer than Democrats had anticipated.  White House 2012 believes Wisconsin will be won by Romney.  The big surprise here is may be whether or not it is called for Romney quickly.  A quick decision in Wisconsin for Romney’s will most likely mean that if he has not yet been declared the President-Elect, he will be within the hour.  If Barack Obama wins Wisconsin this may only mean that Romney is not winning a landslide victory in the Electoral College, but he will still be on track to winning.

Michigan should not be much of a contest.  While Romney may poll far better than most polls indicate, President Obama should still pull this state out in his favor.  Again a late call of Michigan for him means the election is too close for comfort for President Obama and that a sign that he is underperforming nationally.  A quick call of Michigan for President Obama simply means that Romney is still on target to reach the 270 votes he need to win the presidency.  If Michigan happens to be called for Mitt Romney, he will officially become the President-Elect.

Late Call in Florida and Wisconsin Puts Romney Over the Top

Florida may not be called until some point during the 9 o’clock hour, probably towards the top of the hour.  Exit polls may convince networks that his lead is strong enough to allow the networks to project Florida before 9:00 pm but if they haven’t they will now, and that will give Romney the 260 electors votes to the President’s 159.

At some point during this hour, Wisconsin will also be called.  If it goes to Romney as WH12 projects, that will give Romney 270 electoral votes and make him the President-Elect.

Obama 159 / Romney 270

10:00 pm Eastern Standard Time:

Montana and Utah will be called quickly for Mitt Romney.  Nevada and Iowa may take a little longer to  but at some point during the 10 o’clock hour, expect all 4 states to go to Mitt and for Romney.

Obama 159 /Romney 291

11:00 pm Eastern Standard Time:

No surprises here and each state will be called quickly.

Obama 237 / Romney 298

12:00 am Eastern Standard Time

Alaska which Barack Obama has never been competitive in, goes for Romney and is called as soon as the polls close.

Obama 233 / Romney 305

Photobucket

 White House 2012’s final Electoral College Projection

For a deatiled analysis visit here.

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