Hurricane Sandy Alert Related to the Election

Bookmark and Share If you have put up lawn signs, please be sure to take these signs down before the storm hits. That includes any signs you put up along roadways and at intersections.  First of all, these signs can become dangerous projectiles in high winds.  Second, they will be destroyed by the storm and their purpose will be defeated.  So time permitting, please take down any signs you are responsible for having put up.  This will reduce the amount of risk for damage  during the storm, and it will reduce the amount of debris that will undoubtedly have to be removed after the storm.  Once the storm has passed and all public safety concerns have been addressed, you can put them back up.

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Hurricane Sandy Alert: White House 2012 and Millions More Will Be Affected

Bookmark and Share  While White House 2012 has contributors throughout the nation, yours truly lives in Ocean County, New Jersey.  This is an area that is just a few miles North of where the center of the storm is currently expected to come in land.  This means the area I am in is expected to be bearing the brunt of the worst aspects of the storm’s winds and tidal surges. While I am not personally confronted with any profound threats for the storm, like millions of others I anticipate great inconveniences as a result of the damaging effects of the storm, specifically in the area of electrical power.  So needless to say, at some point during and after the storm, I anticipate being without power and will most likely be unable to post anything to White House 2012 for extended period of time.

Of course that is not the main concern here.  In the event of such storm related damage, I just want readers to understand what is responsible for the lack of activity on White House 2012.   But the real concern here is for the 60 million people who will be effected by Sandy.

Please take all precautions available to you between now and early this evening.  From the period of Sunday night and beyond, Sandy will be losing some of the characteristics that would technically define it as a hurricane and turning into a superstorm which will maintain hurricane force winds and rains, but over a much broader area than hurricanes ususally do and for a much longer period of time than hurricanes typically do.  Currently the storm’s effects are projected to extend for 1,000 miles from it’s center.   It is also expected to last for at least 36 hours, in varying degrees of strength.

For updated public advisories on the storm, please listen to your local NOAA radio station here.

This storm is not something which anyone who will be affected by it can take lightly.  From flooding of those who live along the shores of all the the Great Lakes where winds are expected too generate waves as high as 22 feet, to the people living on the shores of the ocean, inlets and bays of the Mid-Atlanitc and New England, to the people living in the mountainous interior of West Virginia where more than two feet of snow is expected to fall, this storm will be life threatening and when it comes to property, it is expected to produce a billion dollars in damages.

So all those who will be experiencing this storm are being strongly advised to take it seriously.  Please stock up on necessities and realize that once the storm has passed, many people still will not have access to roads that could be blocked by flood waters, storm debris and dangerous downed electrical power lines.  If you are anywhere within the range of the storms effects, please take a moment to review the important information below that you should at least consider.

Storm Preparedness:

First; as a political website, I would like to remind political activists of something that national sources do not typically call to the public’s attention.

If you have put up  lawn signs for your favorite candidates, time permitting, please take them down before the storm hits.  While your efforts are appreciated, in a storm like this, those good efforts could turn into a dangerous situation that could see the storm’s strong winds turn those signs turn in to dangerous projectiles.  Furthermore, leaving these signs up during the storm will will do no one anyone good.  Not only will they be destroyed and unreadable in the days immediately leading up to the election, they will only add to debris that will have to be cleaned up at the storm.  That aside, please not all of the following;

Two keys to weather safety are to prepare for the risks and to act on those preparations when alerted by emergency officials. These are essential pieces to the Weather-Ready Nation.

Refer to the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s (FEMA) ready.gov/hurricanes for comprehensive information on hurricane preparedness at home and in your community.

Highlights on how to prepare and take action are available below:

Gather Information

Know if you live in an evacuation area. Assess your risks and know your home’s vulnerability to storm surge, flooding and wind. Understand National Weather Service forecast products and especially the meaning of NWS watches and warnings.

Contact your local National Weather Service office and local government/emergency management office. Find out what type of emergencies could occur and how you should respond.

Contacts

Keep a list of contact information for reference.

  • Local Emergency Management Office
  • County Law Enforcement
  • County Public Safety Fire/Rescue
  • State, County and City/Town Government
  • Local Hospitals
  • Local Utilities
  • Local American Red Cross
  • Local TV Stations
  • Local Radio Stations
  • Your Property Insurance Agent

Risk Analysis

Online hazard and vulnerability assessment tools are available to gather information about your risks.

Plan & Take Action

Everyone needs to be prepared for the unexpected. Your friends and family may not be together when disaster strikes. How will you find each other? Will you know if your children or parents are safe? You may have to evacuate or be confined to your home. What will you do if water, gas, electricity or phone services are shut off?

Supplies Kit

Put together a basic disaster supplies kit and consider storage locations for different situations. Help community members do the same.

Emergency Plans

Develop and document plans for your specific risks.

Health & Environment

Follow guidelines to guard your community’s health and protect the environment during and after the storm.

Evacuation

  • Review the FEMA Evacuation Guidelinesto allow for enough time to pack and inform friends and family if you need to leave your home. FOLLOW instructions issued by local officials. Leave immediately if ordered!
  • Consider your protection options to decide whether to stay or evacuate your home if you are not ordered to evacuate. <!–
  • Determine multiple safe evacuation routes inland.
  • Keep copies of important papers such as identification and insurance policies with you.

When waiting out a storm be careful, the danger may not be over yet…

Be alert for:

  • Tornadoes – they are often spawned by hurricanes.
  • The calm “eye” of the storm – it may seem like the storm is over, but after the eye passes, the winds will change direction and quickly return to hurricane force.

Recover

  • Wait until an area is declared safe before returning home.
  • Remember that recovering from a disaster is usually a gradual process.

Resources

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Can You Balance the Deficit Better than those in Washington? Prove it!

White House 2012 Guest Submission from Sharon A. Moore-Smith

Bookmark and Share  The 2012 Fiscal Budget for the United States of America is 2,403 pages long. Who has the time to curl up with a document that is thicker than a Harry Potter book, read it and understand it. As a proud American, I want to understand what is going on in politics, but I just don’t have the time to read these lengthy documents.

Recently, a friend recommended a site that not only allows me to outline my ideas, and then sends my suggestions to my elected officials and representatives!

BudgetControl.com poses the question ‘Can you balance the national budget better than those in Washington? Prove it’! After a brief and cute introduction to the website, users are given an interactive graph of the current national budget. This graph can be adjusted in any way you think that the budget should be balanced. Once you are finished, the graph is saved and can be shared with friends and family on Facebook and Twitter.

The next page shows the same graph before the adjustments, but this time you can apply any budget plan available from politicians (i.e.: Ron Paul, Harry Reid, etc.). This allows users to see what each plan would do to the budget – the positives and the negatives.

Once you are finished, the website gives you an amazing opportunity. You can send your balanced budget, or your selections of the politicians’plans, to your representatives. How is this different from other websites? Why not just send an email through your politicians own website? Here’s why:

  1. This site gives you access to every political leader that represents you. Simply type in your zip code and the website generates a list of your representatives. Your budget can then be sent to one of them or all of them. Your choice!
  2. Most representatives’ websites will take your information and send it out as a letter. BudgetControl.com is set-up to send emails directly to your representative. Their thought: ‘If I can have a pizza delivered in 30 minutes, why can’t I contact my representatives in that amount of time?’

This is a new age of communication and technology. As a citizen of the United States, I have the right to speak my mind and have my voice heard. It is about time that someone has created a way for our voices to be heard and not have to pay for it.

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“Death And Deceit In Benghazi”: The Timeline Behind the Obama Coverup (Full Video)

  Bookmark and Share   While most journalists continue to fail to ask the President and his Administration the hard questions about the circumstances leading up to and following the terrorist attack on our consulate in Benghazi, Libya, Bret Baier of Fox News has put together an excellent report that proves the  President and his Administration have a lot to explain to the American people (see the special report in the video below).

The timeline established in this report raises several questions including some which deal with  the broader concerns of national security within an Administration that apparently went without ever knowing or acknowledging the fact that al Qaeda was establishing itself in Eastern, Libya, even though the Administration was being warned about it for more than two months.

The final presidential debate will be devoted to foreign policy, an issue which until recently has largely taken a backseat to the economic crisis that is confronting our nation.  But over the course of the past six weeks, events beyond our borders have reminded many Americans that what happens abroad creates ripples that eventually and inevitably impact on our own shores and citizens.  Pleas from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to intervene in  Iran’s march towards nuclear capability have reached a fevered pitch.  Continued fallout from the lead-from-behind Obama strategy in regards to the so-called Arab Spring has turned into an Arab Winter that has led to an ongoing civil war in Syria that continues to destabilize an already unstable region of the world and threatens to turn in to a war between Syria and Turkey.   And in Libya the promise once seen in the final fall and demise of Moammar  Gaddafi  has turned in to an opportunity for al Qaeda related cells to kill our Ambassador and three members of his security detail and in to an opportunity for al Qaeda to establish another beachhead to launch future terrorist attacks from.

The ramifications of the events leading up to, and following the terrorist attack in Benghazi are turning in to two scandals.  The fist being the scandal of the obvious intelligence failures which made it possible for the killing of our 4 Americans in Libya on September 11, 2012.  How could the President never have been told about the activity level of al Qaeda in Libya that Ambassador Chris Stevens warned us about in cables to the Administration which he told us about two months prior to the attack that took his life?  Or is this something that President Obama might have known had he not avoided approximately 62% of his daily intelligence briefings since the beginning of the year?

Brett Baier’s timeline also raises questions about the Administration’s reaction to the terrorist attack… a reaction that is turning into the second scandal.

Given the clear contradictions between the facts outlined in this report and the statements made by the President and the Administration, this timeline shows evidence of  an Administration that is at best less than forthcoming with the truth and at its worst, trying to cover-up both the fact that there was such an extraordinarily severe intelligence failure and the reasons for that intelligence failure.

Could it be that President Obama knew nothing about Benghazi because since just the beginning of 2012 alone, he skipped out on  approximately 62% of his daily intelligence briefings?  While this is not a question asked in Brett Baier’s reports, it is a logical question when one consider all the facts and adds them in to the timeline laid out in this special report.

Whether or not Mitt Romney has the opportunity or desire to make these points in tonight’s presidential debate on foreign policy is anyone’s guess.  But what there is no need to second guess is the fact that since the terrorist attack in Benghazi, the president and his Administration have acted in ways that are raising more questions than answers.  In fact while they have not provided any answers , all their actions have raised nothing but questions.  If you take the time to watch this special report by Brett Baier entitled “Death and Deceit in Libya”, you too will begin to understand the true meaning of the phrase… “where there’s smoke, there’s fire”.

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Romney Still Winning the Election in the Electoral College But Wisconsin and New Hampshire Are Becoming Critically Important

Bookmark and Share   The latest White House 2012 analysis of polls, conditions, and circumstances in individual states projects a slightly smaller Electoral College vote total for Governor Mitt Romney than he had last week, but Romney still remains above the magic number of 270, that he needs to win in the Electoral College.

This week, WH12 has seen the battleground states of Iowa and Nevada taken out of Romney’s column and designated as toss-up states.  This switch has taken away 12 electoral votes from the Romney-Ryan ticket and brought  them from last week’s total of 291 electoral votes , to 279 electoral votes this week.  But as Mitt Romney sees 12 votes go from him to the undecided column, President Obama sees his previous Electoral College projection decrease by 10 votes as WH12 now takes Wisconsin out of the President’s column and classifies it as a toss-up state.  So President Obama now finds  his Electoral College vote drop from 247 last week, to 237 this week.

But the big story here ends up not being the new numbers projected in White House 2012’s analysis.  The real story here is the increasing importance that these numbers places on New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, and probably most of all… Wisconsin.

Based upon WH12’s  current level of confidence in Mitt Romney having solid leads in all his base states* and strong leads in the once very competitive states of Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia, combined with our increasing confidence in Romney’s ability to at least squeak out a win in Ohio, what we find ourselves with here is a race that really hinges upon Romney’s need to win any combination of New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, and or Wisconsin.

With former toss-up states like Colorado, Virginia, and Florida projected to be solidly behind Romney, as seen in the map below, all the Romney-Ryan tickets needs to secure victory is Ohio.    With Romney’s base states, and locks on the battleground states of Colorado, Florida, North Carolina,and Virginia, if Romney can squeak by in Ohio, he can lose New Hampshire, Nevada, Iowa, and  Wisconsin and still win with 5 more electoral votes than he needs to secure the presidency.  That would produce an electoral vote of 275 for Romney, to 263 for President Obama.

But Ohio is too close for comfort for Romney to count on.  So the Romney-Ryan ticket must secure an optional path to victory to rely upon.  Based upon the current projection which gives Romney the battlegrounds of Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, and New Hampshire, ,  if President Obama wins Ohio, the only state that Romney needs is Wisconsin.   In that scenario, even if the Obama-Biden ticket won the remaining battleground states of Iowa and Nevada, Mitt would still win in the Electoral College with 271 electoral votes to Obama’s 267 electoral votes.

Without Ohio, this New Hampshire plus Wisconsin combination to victory for Romney is currently the best and most logical strategy to pursue.

In New Hampshire, the Romney-Ryan ticket is behind Obama-Biden by only approximately 1%.  That is well below the 2.2% margin of error that WH12’s projection formula adds to Romney’s numbers in an attempt to compensate for the erroneous turnout models that pollsters are using in their polls.  So by WH12’s standard, Romney is actually ahead of President Obama in New Hampshire by approximately 1.2%.    Then there is Wisconsin.

While Real Clear Politics has Obama ahead of Romney by approximately 2.8% in Wisconsin according to White House 2012 that is only a .06% lead for the President.  It is a lead so small that that it could easily by overcome.  Especially if its favorite son, Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan,  focusses on Wisconsin during this last two weeks of the election. That is a point White House 2012 made last week in a post entitled  “Checkmating Obama with Wisconsin: A Romney Win in the Badger State Dooms Obama“.   Furthermore, Ryan’s focus on Wisconsin could also produce an overflow effect that impacts the close contest in Iowa which borders Wisconsin and possibly provide the margin of victory for the G.O.P. ticket there.

What this all means is that if projections that give Romney his base states and the critical battlegrounds of Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia, but he losses Ohio, the Romney-Ryan ticket can still win the election if they take Wisconsin and either New Hampshire, Iowa, or Nevada.   But under this situation, if Romney does not win Wisconsin,  Romney would have to win all three states of New Hampshire, Iowa, and Nevada.

So it becomes clear to us that while several states remain quite important in this election, if Mitt Romney’s momentum  continues to hold, Wisconsin and New Hampshire may be the states that offer him the best assurance of a victory in the Electoral College. Especially if Ohio remains as tight as it currently is and goes down to the wire as a state so close that its results might not be known until days or even weeks after they are litigated in the courts.  However, the outcome of such litigation would be meaningless  if Romney can put New Hampshire and Wisconsin safely in his final Electoral College vote total.

In the meantime, while White House 2012’s current projection classifies 22 electoral votes as toss-ups, no matter which way they ultimately go, the most Barack Obama could get is 259 electoral votes.  That would leave and Romney with at least 20 more electoral votes than Obama and nine more than Romney needs to win in the Electoral College.

Meanwhile, if Barack Obama fails to curtail the Romentum that we currently see, it won’t be long before White House 2012 finds itself issuing the very best but still realistic projected outcome that Mitt Romney could see.  That projection may end up with a far more lopsided Electoral College than anyone is expecting.  As seen in the map below, existing trends may soon establish a projection that looks like th e map below.  It’s a Romney led Electoral College result of of 302 electoral votes to 236 electoral votes.

Right now, that is the best case scenario for Romney but if current trends to continue, it is the result we are most likely to see.  It is also a result that would include something new… the splitting of Maine’s electoral vote between Romney and Obama.  Maine, like Nebraska splits their electoral vote between their congressional districts.  Some recent polling has shown that in  Maine’s second congressional district, Romney was leading Obama 49 to 44%.  If that holds up, it would be the first time Maine ever actually split it’s electoral vote.  And it would also give Romney at least 1 electoral vote from a region of the country that Romney has been all but written off in.

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The Dignity and Grace of the Romneys: A Sign of Things To Come

You’re looking at the grace and dignity of the next President and his First Lady

Bookmark and Share   Since his first spectacular debate performance, Mitt Romney seems to have turned a corner.  Up till that debate, he was largely viewed as an uninspiring, underdog with only the slightest chance to unseat a powerful and still somewhat popular incumbent President.  But since that debate, an incredible number of Americans apparently go  a good first, real look at Romney and what they seem to have found is that the Mormon, former Republican Governor from Massachusetts is not the evil and indecisive, flip-flopping, robber baron, extremist that the Obama campaign has tried to define him as in nearly $300 million in negative ads.  Instead, many of those Americans who were once undecided walked away from that first debate seeing a successful, decisive, rational, principled man who has an understanding of the problems that we face and a unique ability to address those problems and  do what President Obama has not been able to do…. turn things around. The debate which led to that impression now looks to have decisive defining moment in a campaign that up till then was Barack Obama’s to lose.It is a sign that many Americans are truly not happy with the job President Obama has done.  But Americans are also typically reluctant to replace their presidents. Which is why most incumbents win reelection.  But when a challenger can can come off  presidential, it makes reluctant voters easier to picture the new face of that challenger in the Oval Office, thereby making them more open to replacing one President with another.

And that is precisely what happened at the first debate. 

In that debate, Mitt Romney came off as being presidential,  while President Obama came off as a man struggling to keep his head above water.  For many American voters, that debate was a first impression of Mitt Romney and the importance of his impressive performance in that debate was rooted in the fact that first impressions are lasting impressions.  And so far, that impression Romney created in the first debate is lasting.

Which leads us to the picture of Mitt and Ann Romney in the upper left corner of this post.

It was a photo taken of Mitt and Ann Romney as they made their way to last night’s annual Alfred E. Smith dinner at  the Waldorf Astoria in New York City.    I chose to present this photo to you because it typifies the grace and dignity of Mitt and Ann Romney.  It is a grace and dignity that seems to emanate from the two quite naturally.  It is also a dignity and grace that is quite helpful in this presidential election.  Those two qualities are helping to make Mitt Romney look as presidential as his policy proposals are.  And it is a sharp contrast to the less dignified pop culture image that President Obama often tried to focus on.

Instead of dancing with Ellen or holding beer summits, Mitt Romney seems more focussed on the type of dignified role that President’s should be playing.   That combined with his solid, successful business background and record of getting the job done in Massachusetts, all adds to the impression of a person who people can feel confident in.  Which brings us to another contrast between the President Obama and Mitt Romney.

Confidence is something that most Americans lack in Barack Obama.  Between broken promises, failed policies, and an alarmingly ambiguous foreign policy that is yielding more questions than answers, when compared to the impressions offered by Mitt Romney, despite an almost arrogant quality possessed by Barack Obama’s, he is not instilling a sense of confidence in most Americans.  It is the same lack of confidence that Americans had in Jimmy Carter when they rejected him in favor of Ronald Reagan, another figure in American history who demonstrated a natural dignity and grace that made it easy for Americans to imagine him as their President.

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Romney and Obama Bring Down the House at The Alfred E. Smith Dinner

Bookmark and Share   With well timed and perfectly delivered humor, Mitt Romney and Barack Obama both proved themselves to be quite funny during the 67th annual Alfred E. Smith Memorial Foundation Dinner at the Waldorf Astoria in New York City.  (See the video of both men’s remarks at the bottom of this post) 

The dinner is an annual white tie charity fundraiser for Catholic charities, that is always held on the third Thursday of October, in honor of Al Smith, a former New York Governor and the first Catholic presidential candidate.  Every four years, the Republican and Democrat presidential nominees traditionally headline the gathering and this year, the tradition continued with Obama and Romney.

First up was Mitt Romney and from the get go he had the well-heeled guests in attendance falling off their chairs.  With a mix of wise cracking one-liners that politely but sharply zinged the President and a combination of self-deprecating humor that poked fun at his own most pronounced characteristics, Romney unleashed a torrent of kneeslappers that stunned listeners with the boldness of his jokes and the hysterical nature of them.  Among his best lines was one that came after Mitt said that many people wonder how one prepares for presidential debates.  He said that in his case, you first spend 65 years refraining from any alcoholic beverages.  While speaking of the debate Romney floored the audience when he told them that what you also do is

“find the biggest available strawman and then just mercilessly attack them… Big Bird didn’t even see it coming” 

He promptly added;

“And by the way in the spirit of Sesame Street, the President’s remarks tonight are brought to you by the letter “O” and the number 16 trillion”.

For Mitt, the hits kept coming with remarks about everything from his hoping the President had brought Joe Biden with him because of the Vice President’s ability to laugh at anything, to even several quite blunt and hysterical digs at the media.

Part of Romney’s success at the event was probably based on how surprised people were to this absolutely funny side of the straight-laced Mormon.  But there was also no dnying the brilliance of the material he used in his approximately 9 minute remarks.

Immediately following Romney was the President and from beginning to end he too did not disappoint.

The President effectively made himself the biggest target in his remarks which began with many references to his first debate performance.  According to the President,

“As some of you may have noticed, I had a lot more energy in our second debate. I felt really well rested after the nice long nap I had in the first debate”

From there the President touched on array of people and topics, including Romney and like Romney he did so in a superbly lighthearted and disarming manner that put the often mean spirited nature of campaigns and elections in a refreshingly civil and even friendly light.

Both speeches were truly great and well worth your time watching.

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