Palin Will Still Be the Cause for the Next Big Media Driven Maelstrom of the Election

Bookmark and Share A day after Governor Sarah Palin made it official that she would not run for President in 2012, the leaders of Team Sarah sent out the following email to their extensive list of supporters.

Team,

We’re not retreating, we’re  reloading!

While the announcement that Governor Sarah Palin will not be seeking the 2012 GOP nomination for the office of President of the United States came as a surprise and disappointment to many,  let’s not forget that we have all been called to “fight like a girl” in an effort to restore our country.  It’s a call to stand with Governor Palin and to continue fighting for the conservative values of smaller government, free markets, life, and family.

Team Sarah members will continue to march towards the 2012 elections advancing the values and principles that Sarah Palin represents in the political process.  We will join Governor Palin in the fight to secure many victories for commonsense constitutional conservatives at all levels of government.

The email seems to be representative of the sentiments possessed by most Palinistas.  While they are disappointed by the fact that there is no chance she will become President in 2012, they are not disappointed in her.

Palin’s supporters appreciate her seeming lack of ambition to hold political office.  That is why they understood the thinking behind her sacrificing the second half of her only term as Governor Alaska and did not hold it against her.  They understood that the political firestorm that came with the liberal assault upon her was going to make it easier for her successor to advance the agenda that she set, faster and further.  Palin’s lack of political ambition is what attracts most people to her.  They understand that her opinions and words are not driven by the political motives which are usually behind the  words and policies of your average politician.

That understanding and the enormous number of people who support Palin for her ability to articulate what they feel and think, and her desire to be honest and blunt about those sentiments, is the same understanding which gave birth to the TEA movement.  That is why for many, the two go hand in hand.  It is why Palin is a darling of the TEA movement.

It is also why Palin’s decision not to run, is likely to have as much of an effect on who will be the next Republican nominee, as she would have had if she decided to run for the nomination herself..

That is why pretty soon, the news will be dominated by another topic.

With names like Daniels, Barbour, Ryan, Christie, and Palin definitely out of the race, the endless speculation about who is running which kept many from getting behind any of the actual declared candidates, has finally stopped.  There is little talk about who can jump in and change the complexion of the race.  But with the front loading of the primary and caucuses actually forcing the first votes in the nomination process to begin taking place in as few as 12 weeks from now, the next media prompted maelstrom will be who Palin is endorsing.  There will be a similar media focus on who New Jersey Governor Chris Christie also endorses, but ironically and quite figuratively, the Palin endorsement will carry much more weight than Christie’s.  Her support of a candidate could open doors for candidates like Romney, Santorum or Gingrich, candidates who desperately need TEA activists to just consider them as viable choices.  Candidates like Herman Cain and even Rick Perry don’t need such an opening to the TEA movement.  They already have strong support from many sectors within the less spending, less government, more liberty cause.  But a leading candidate like Mitt Romney can ill afford Sarah Palin promoting one of his opponents.

That is why Sarah Palin is very likely to be pivotal in the Republican nomination contest. And probably more so in the nomination process than the general election contest where she will probably not be able to change the minds of those supporting or still considering supporting President Obama for reelection.

In the meantime, Palin holds the power to change the course of history.  If she so chooses, she can actually be a determining factor in who the next Republican nominee and subsequently the next President is.  Such an assertion is only made more evident by the above letter from Palin supporters which confirms their desire to stand with Sarah Palin through thick or thin.

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An easy message

Is this race about to get dirtier?  The more crazy moves Obama makes, the greater the temptation will be for Republican candidates to start slinging mud at each other.  I’ve said since the start of this primary that Republicans need to focus on Obama, but so far Newt Gingrich is the only one who has been able to accomplish this.  The result is that he continues to post poor showings in the polls as few Americans are paying attention to anything he is saying.

So why are Republicans getting more comfortable attacking each other?  The right is getting more and more confident of a 2012 victory with every misstep this President makes.  I still maintain though that Republicans need to make this election about defeating Obama.  Already, Romneycare, Perry’s HPV order, and Bachmann’s gaffes are going to make it that much harder for the GOP nominee to win in 2012.  Obama has done plenty of things to run against, and I give credit to Newt Gingrich who has been pointing them out in his weekly newsletters.

I thought I would provide a refresher course to the Republican candidates to help them stay focused. For example, do they want to focus on jobs?  President Obama is the President whose policies have driven unemployment up to 9.1% while running annual deficits over a trillion dollars a year.

In the meantime, he is also the President who is blocking the opening of a US manufacturing plant in South Carolina because it is not a union factory.

He is the President whose federal agents performed an armed raid on a US manufacturing plant because they were buying materials overseas and manufacturing them here in the US instead of manufacturing them in India.  Yes, you read that right.

He is the President who took a public US corporation away from the company’s bondholders, sold the company overseas to an Italian company and gave the proceeds to the United Auto Workers union.

He is the President who unilaterally shut down US oil drilling in key areas of the Gulf of Mexico.  When a judge said his moratorium was unconstitutional and tossed it, Obama simply wrote another one.  In the meantime, he heavily invested US tax dollars into drilling operations in Brazil and promised the US would be one of their best customers.

He is the President who today proposed $1.5 trillion in cuts in private investment and consumer spending through higher taxes, after proposing $400 billion in tax hikes just a week and a half ago.  That’s $1.9 trillion in proposed tax hikes over a two week period when he was promising new policies to create jobs.  By the way, these are the same tax hikes his own party wouldn’t pass in 2009 or 2010.  All this and he is the one proposing hundreds of billions of dollars in cuts in Medicare and Medicaid.

How about government waste?

He is the President who after taking $850 billion in stimulus dollars and funneling it to unions and pet projects such as duck ponds and skate parks is now asking for another $450 billion to fix the 152 bridges he neglected with the first stimulus.

Speaking of the first stimulus, Obama is the President who invested billions of our tax dollars into various “green energy” projects that have now gone bankrupt.  And it gets worse:

He is the President who gave a $529 million taxpayer loan to a company owned by one of his biggest supporters, multi-billionare George Kaiser, despite knowing that the company was failing.  Then he restructured that loan so that when the company went under Kaiser would get paid first and taxpayers would get what was left over.

Barack Obama says we need to cut private investment and consumer spending through higher taxes because the rich need to pay “their fair share”.  But when it came to Solyndra, Obama specifically made sure that the rich got their millions of dollars back at the taxpayer’s expense.

How about in Afghanistan?

As Obama slowly draws down forces and quickly pulls out of combat roles, he also keeps fighting for cuts in military spending.  He seems uncommittedly committed to the war in Afghanistan.  Could that have any correlation to there being nearly twice as many US deaths in Afghanistan in Obama’s three years in office as there were during the entire Bush Presidency?

What about Obama’s management of the Justice Department?

While letting the black panthers off the hook for voter intimidation when they showed up in military garb with clubs at the voting booths, Eric Holder took pro-lifer’s to civil court and sued them over standing too close to abortion clinic driveways.

And of course, Fast and Furious.  This was the operation where this President’s Justice Department sold guns to violent Mexican druglords.  Those same guns were used to kill border patrol agents.  Meanwhile, Obama has sued Arizona for trying to enforce immigration laws on their own.

All that, and I didn’t even mention Obama’s disastrous healthcare legislation.

If 2012 Republican candidates feel the urge to take a swing at a political opponent, might I suggest that Obama makes for an easy target?

Oh, and one last thing.  Report@whitehouse.gov might be a thing of the past, but if you disagree with what I wrote you can always report me to Obama’s new citizen watch website, http://www.attackwatch.com.

Palin’s “miscues”

If you watch football religiously like I do, you will notice new terms that pop up and become the buzz word of the season. Last year you couldn’t say “interception” anymore, you had to say I.N.T. This year the word is “miscue”. When the receiver blows his route it is a miscue. When the quarterback spends 15 seconds in the pocket and gets sacked, it’s a miscue. When the running back drops the ball and the other team picks it up and runs back for a touchdown, it is a miscue.

So I thought that I would apply that to the talk about Sarah Palin. For example, on with Barbara Walters, Palin made a huge miscue by announcing that she is definitely interested in running for President. Everyone knows you don’t announce that you are interested in running until after your campaign has made it official that you are in fact already running.

I was slightly more surprised to hear the always thoughtful George Will speak about some of Palin’s miscues on Washington This Week today. Will said one of her biggest miscues was quitting her term as governor and saving the state of Alaska billions in legal fees. After all, we all know from Charlie Rangel that even when ethics violations are true, it’s no reason to quit.

But what I thought was the most interesting miscue George Will noted was that Palin showed up in the audience of Dancing with the Stars to support her daughter Bristol, who has made it to the finals obviously only because TEA Partiers across the country are rigging the telephone voting. In fact, one man was so upset at watching Bristol dance that he shot his TV with a shotgun and then turned the gun on his wife.

Ok, so Dancing with the Stars is not my favorite show either. But really, George? Being in the audience supporting your daughter is “not Presidential”? That is her big miscue?

The answer is yes if you are an establishment elitist. The same is true for her show about life in Alaska. The fact is, while even Christian fundamentalists in Washington did not pick Palin in their straw poll, there are still lots of Americans who relate to her rugged individualism and die hard commitment to family. What seems like a miscue to the pundits can sometimes be what most normal Americans outside of DC are looking for. If nothing else, 2010 proved this. In fact, a majority of Palin backed TEA party candidates won.

Palin may not win the primary. But many of the people who go to the polls and vote for the other guy are the same people who watch her on their TV at night and cheer when she talks about smaller government, states rights, and conservative constitutionalist principles. And even if Palin is not the GOP candidate in 2012, the candidate who wins will be the one who most closely espouses what she represents.

The Season of Sarah

If you are a C-Span junkie like me, then tonight was a great night.  Palin backed TEA Party Candidate Christine O’Donnell gave a speech at the Family Research Counsel’s Values Voter Summit, fresh off a surprise upset win in Delaware.  Next up, cameras cut to Iowa for Sarah Palin’s keynote speech at the annual Ronald Reagan dinner.  The Values Voter Summit straw poll results will be released this weekend and Palin may receive higher marks than we would have expected even a week ago.

There is no question the momentum is on her side.  While the mainstream still does not like Palin, primary victories in Alaska, Kentucky, Nevada, New York, and Delaware have earned her the respect even mainstream conservatives had previously refused to give.  Of course, she has made some odd enemies along the way, including possibly Karl Rove and Charles Krauthhammer who are not yet believers.  November will be the ultimate testing ground.

Sarah Palin goes to Iowa

So with this recent success, and a much more polished presentation, is Palin ready to take another shot at the big time?  She indicated to Fox News that she is.  Most candidates don’t let the cat out of the bag two years ahead of time, but Palin said in a recent Fox News interview that, “If the American people were to be ready for someone who is willing to shake it up, and willing to get back to time-tested truths, and help lead our country towards a more prosperous and safe future and if they happen to think I was the one, if it were best for my family and for our country, of course I would give it a shot.”

These may seem like a lot of caveats, but for a potential candidacy statement two years before the election it is significant.  November will be the huge test to see if conservative primary victories can translate into conservative general election victories.  After that, we will have to see if Palin can keep Americans engaged without causing fatigue.  One thing is for sure, as she racks up the conservative victories and the left continues to flounder, Palin is looking less like a right wing radical and more like a mainstream possibility.

Sarah Palin Flexes TEA Party Muscle

Bookmark and Share   The atmosphere across the country is starting to lean further and further in favor of the conservative TEA party wing of the Republican party.  My state of Florida is a good example where establishment Republicans are suddenly realizing that their best bet to defeat the Democrats in November is to position themselves in support of the anti-establishment TEA party friendly candidates such as Marco Rubio for Senate and Rick Scott for Governor.  Many of the long-time RINOs and moderates are having to decide between supporting conservatism or fleeing to the other side of the aisle where they belong.

In the opposite corner of the country, TEA party conservatism has struck a huge blow to the establishment.  Backed by Sarah Palin, TEA party Republican Joe Miller has upset Alaska Senator Lisa Murkowski by a margin of less than 2,000 votes.  Alaskans, like much of the country, are beginning to realize that their states cannot survive on the Federal debt IV forever and need to send Senators to DC who will cut the debt and return individual’s money to them.

Sarah Palin has been increasingly in the spotlight lately, from making speeches with Glenn Beck about our nation’s foundation of faith to being chosen to speak at the Ronald Reagan Dinner in Iowa.  All the signs point to a conservative TEA party Republican primary run for Sarah Palin.

After Murkowski’s loss, the stage is set for a liberal Democrat versus TEA party conservative Republican showdown in several races across the country.  Everyone has underestimated Palin and the TEA party movement from day one.  The day after election day in November may make the 2012 picture completely clear for Sarah Palin.

Palin is not gaining any additional administrative or government experience during this time, but that may make her more attractive to voters who are in love with outsiders.  She is gaining national campaign and ideological experience; something she severely lacked in 2008.  Palin has helped to organize a stunning and somewhat ignored conservative revolution this 2010 primary season.  Murkowski provides an exclamation point on this success.  2010 may be seen as the ripple that became the wave Palin road to the White House.  By the way, she wouldn’t be the first community organizer to win the Presidency.

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