The Impact of Perry’s Decision to Suspends His Campaign and Endorse Newt Gingrich

Bookmark and Share   In what was probably the most sincere and eloquent speech of his 5 month long race for the Republican presidential nomination, Texas Governor Rick Perry announced that he was suspending his campaign and endorsing the candidacy of Newt Gingrich for President.  The decision which came in advance of what was an inevitable, single digit, last place showing in this Saturday’s  South Carolina Primary was not totally unexpected, but both its timing and the endorsement that came with it were.

In recent days it became clear that despite an endorsement of Rick Santorum by over 150 evangelical leaders, the evangelical base and conservative base of the G.O.P. was not coalescing around Santorum and continued to see both blocs dividing their vote between Gingrich, Perry, and Santorum.  At the same time, while Santorum seemed to be losing steam among those voting blocs, Newt was gaining momentum among them.  So much so that he even suggested that if Perry and Santorum really cared about the conservative cause, the two of them would drop out and get behind him.

Rick Perry apparently agreed and in his announcement, he issued a subtle call to arms for conservatives to indeed get behind Gingrich.

According to Perry, Gingrich is a “conservative visionary” and in a clear attempt to blunt the blow from an anticipated ABC News interview with Newt’s ex-wife Marianne, Perry stated;

“Newt is not perfect, but who among us is?” 

He added;

“The fact is, there is forgiveness for those who seek God and I believe in the power of redemption, for it is a central tenet of my own Christian faith.”

The latter remarks will probably have more of a positive impact on Gingrich’s candidacy than Perry’s actual endorsement.

Some recent polls indicate that Perry only has the support of 2% of South Carolina primary voters and while not all of those supporters will simply flock to Newt because of Perry’s decision to support him, Perry’s words about redemption will resonate quite well among the broader base of evangelical voters at large in South Carolina.  Those words will go a long way in helping many of those undecided evangelicals to break for Newt rather than Santorum.

To a great degree, Perry’s decisions to suspend his campaign and endorse Newt Gingrich are less important than the timing of those decisions.

Before the day was less than half over, Perry’s announcement blurred the focus of two other headline grabbing bits of news that had it not been for the distraction of Perry’s announcement would have captured the headlines and all the attention.

The first was the continued leaking of the ABC News interview with Newt’s ex-wife, who described her revelations as career ending for the former Speaker.  The other news was the declaration by the Iowa State Republican Party to “unofficially” certify Rick Santorum as the actually winner in that state’s caucus.  Even though a recount has given Santorum 34 more than Mitt Romney the Party oficially ruled the caucus a virtual tie between Santorum and Romney.  The unusual ruling was based upon the fact that the results from 8 different precincts are missing.

The glitch allowed Santorum to technically declare himself the winner and give him the hope of changing the narrative that has until now, dominated the Republican nomination caucus, a narrative which made Mitt Romney the clear frontrunner as the first non-incumbent Republican presidential candidate to win both Iowa and New Hampshire.

Given the few votes that separated Santorum from Romney in Iowa, and the fact that there are votes missing, Santorum would have already had a difficult time trying to change the existing perceptions about Romney’s electoral strength, but Governor Perry made it practically impossible for Santorum to do after he quickly replaced the Iowa Caucus headline with his own about the end of campaign and endorsement of Gingrich.

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Trunkline 2012: Saturday Political News in Review and the Cinema Politico Movie of the Week 11/12/11

Bookmark and Share  Saturdays edition of  Trunkline 2012 reveals where to watch tonight’s debate, photo of Rick Perry’s debate preparation, Buddy Roemer’s bitter twitter, the California Supreme Court’s ruling for Mexican flag and against our American flag, Newtmentum, the Obama Administration’s praise of Jon Corzine’s economic expertise,  the guest lineup and topics of this Sunday’s morning news programs, this week’s Cinema Politico Saturday night movie feature, and as always, more.

  • Watch tonight’s CBS/National Journal Republican presidential debate on foreign policy live here, starting at 8:00 PM ET
  • Hours before the CBS/ National Journal foreign policy debate and Rick Perry Tweets: “Debate prep in Spartanburg, SC !! “http://t.co/uwdY27IN
  • A frustrated and inconsequential Buddy Roemer tweets I’ve decided to go to the movies tonight instead of tweeting the debate. Less BS.”  Aren’t we bitter? Maybe he should join OWS protesters and watch the debate with them.
  • Some Advice for Newt Gingrich from White House 2012
  • Turning an elephant into a Newt?   Newtmentum kicks in!
  • 10 character assassination attempts by liberals
  • NPR runs nasty hit piece on Herman Cain
  • Cain: I wouldn’t be Romney’s VP — but I’d consider being his secretary of defense
  • Ironic Flashback, 2009: Biden touts Jon Corzine as economic go-to guy for Team Obama
  • If this doesn’t piss you off, nothing will: California Students: Court Rules Mexican Flag Okay on May 5th – American Flag Not Okay on May 5th 
  • With Debt There is No DemocracySunday Morning Political News Program Guest lineup:

ABC’s “This WeekRoundtables on politics and Iran.   NBC’s “Meet the Press” 2012 GOP presidential candidate Michele Bachmann; Florida Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz, head of the Democratic National Committee.   CBS’ “Face the Nation” 2012 GOP presidential candidate Jon Huntsman; Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C.; Govs. Martin O’Malley, D-Md., and Haley Barbour, R-Miss.   CNN’s “State of the Union” Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas; Sens. Mark Warner, D-Va., and Tom Coburn, R-Okla.; Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus; Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa “Fox News Sunday” Sen. Pat Toomey, R-Pa.; Rep. James Clyburn, D-S.C.; Gov. Tom Corbett, R-Pa.; Penn State student body President T.J. Bard; former Penn State and Pittsburgh Steelers running back Franco Harris.

W takes viewers through Bush’s eventful life — his struggles and triumphs, how he found both his wife and his faith, and of course the critical days leading up to Bush’s decision to invade Iraq.  Oliver Stone’s biographical take on the life of George W. Bush, chronicles a liberal view of  George W. Bush’s life from his wild and carefree days in college, to his military service, to his governorship of Texas and role in the oil business, his 2000 candidacy for president, his first turbulent four years, and his 2004 re-election campaign.

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W. - on Hulu (You need to register with Hulu to see the movie. Registration is quick, free, and easy)

Former New Jersey Governor Tom Kean Says Chris Christie is Considering a Run for President

Bookmark and Share    Although New JerseyGovernor Christopher J.  Christie is officially not considering a run for President, a good friend of the Governor, former popular New Jersey Governor Tom Kean tells National Review that Christie is indeed giving the idea of a 2012 run for President some very serious consideration.

Governor Kean has known Governor Christie since he was a teenager and for all intent and purpose there is no immediately obvious reason for Kean to intentionally mislead the public about Christie’s thought process.

For several days now, the word that Governor Christie is thinking about running has been gaining momentum.  From my point of view, it must be treated as chatter, but not in the sense of people just talking.  It must be treated the in the sense as chatter as it pertains to intelligence gathering.  When the government intercepts an unusual level of communications (which they call chatter) regarding a certain matter, they take the information more seriously and heighten their level attention on whatever it is that the “chatter is about”.  The same thing applies here for the other Republicans running for President.  They better be prepared for the waves if Christie jumps into the presidential waters.

Despite very adanmant claims that he was not thinking about running for President in 2012, the inability for a single declared Republican presidential candidate to catch fire and burn steadily so far, has created an atmosphere that could tolerate Christie’s sudden sharp reversal of course.  It would be easy for him to say  “given the current political atmosphere, after discussions with my family and many leaders across the spectrum , both Republicans and Democrats, I have decided that now might indeed be th time for me to run“.

Critics will of course call the Governor a liar but many more vocal supporters will say that running is the right decision for both Christie and the nation.  As a New Jerseyan I can tell you right now that although Christie is in good shape here, he probably has a better chance getting elected of the United States than he does t getting reelected Governor of blue New Jersey.  Especially  if Democrats run a dynamic Democrat like Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker.

That said, I am done placing bets who which horse will enter the starting gate,  I’ve been wrong about that too many times this election cycle.   So I will not say Christie is running.  I won’t say he isn’t running either.  I will however tell you, that with two major out-of state speeches that Christie will be making in the near future combined with the opening in the G.O.P. field that still exists and given not just all the chatter but who the chatter is coming from, the chances of Christie running now are greater than have been to date.

Of course all the chatter could be just a very savvy way of insuring that Christie’s speech in Missouri and at the Reagan Library in California are given the type of attention tat all politicians dream of, whether they’re running for President or not.Bookmark and Share

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