The Revolution WILL Be Televised. Ron Paul Is In.

Bookmark and ShareTexas Rep. and former Presidential candidate Ron Paul will announce tomorrow that he is launching a third bid for the White House.

The outspoken Congressman ran for the Presidency as a Libertarian in 1988 and as Republican in 2008 where he gained an almost cult-like following as the only Republican candidate to advocate the ending of the war in Iraq and ending the Federal Reserve. His book The Revolution: A Manifesto also reached No. 1 on The New York Times best-seller list in 2008. His next literary work End The Fed entered the NYT Best Sellers List at #6 in 2009.

Rep. Paul has also held many on-line “moneybombs” that have raised very large amounts of money in one day fundraising events. Paul’s Libertarian leaning views have made him a favorite Republican amongst younger voters, a voting block that the GOP has traditionally struggled to capture. Considered a long shot by many the Texas Congressman has seen his views on the debt from years past become the battle cry for the GOP and TEA Party members in the last year which should help his chances of mounting a serious campaign in 2012.

Despite his views that most see as outside the mainstream views of the GOP voter, his fellow candidates cannot deny the power of his word in the tough economic times that have grabbed a hold of the country. As his supporters like to say, “Ron Paul was right!”

Will the majority of American’s see it that way in 2012? Ron Paul seems to think so and his supporters cannot be happier.

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Are Ron Paul And Mitch Daniels Living In A House Made Of Brick Or A Poll made Of Straw?

Bookmark and ShareAs the results of the CPAC straw poll were released the Ron Paul Revolution has once again put the TX Congressman at the top with 30% of the vote. Not a big surprise to anyone in attendance as Paul’s supporters (half of the straw-poll voters were under 26) have made a yearly pilgrimage to the conservative conference in order to ensure he comes out on top of the straw poll conducted at the largest gathering of conservatives in the nation.

They are very adept at coordinating at these types of events and use them as a means to get Ron Paul’s name out there as they feel he is snubbed as a serious candidate by the mainstream media and Republican base. However strong the support for Paul appears, it unfortunately does not historically transfer to the primaries. With his anti-war, fiscal conservative message Rep. Paul appeals to the younger generation and his followers repay him with a loyalty that is unrivaled by any other candidate give former 2008 Republican VP nominee Sarah Palin. This loyalty gets Paul on the ballot but has yet to make a huge impact on the mostly social conservative GOP base. A base which is necessary to win a primary. That seems to be the stumbling block for the Revolution. Independent voters react to Rep. Paul’s message well and he may be the anomaly that would fair better in a general election than he does in his own parties primary.

A small surprise in the straw poll was little known Indiana governor Mitch Daniels whose message was along the same lines as Rep. Paul’s and was revered by the young pro-Ron Paul crowd garnering him 4%. Daniels took a different approach than most, speaking to the crowd personally and with a serious tone as opposed to the pep rally type atmosphere that others used as a pre-cursor to their possible candidacies. He shied away from mentioning President Obama in order to get the crowd riled up as some of the previous speakers had, instead going on a straight message of fiscal responsibility. It was an eloquently crafted, intellectually compelling call to arms against the red-ink forces of the national debt. He dubbed it “the new red menace”. Daniels also stated that if Republicans found the best way blocked they needed to be open to finding a different way, hinting that they should fore go purity in order to get things done and that to do so may require listening to independent and Democrat voters. A statement that was popular with the young CPAC audience but may not resonate well in a GOP primary.

So as the largest gathering of conservatives in the nation winds down and the potential candidates gauge their impact what does the straw poll actually tell us? I believe it tells us that Ron Paul and Mitch Daniels made nice inroads with a young, loyal base of voters that may just coax them into throwing their hats in the ring officially. It also tells us that the CPAC straw poll is in no way a valid snap shot of a Republican primary. In a primary you need the base. A base that is more socially conservative than fiscally conservative. The Republicans are not likely to nominate Ron Paul in 2012 for the same reasons he never won a primary in 2008 — the GOP mainstream is not going to embrace a purist who rails against the military budget with the same intensity that he attacks the Federal Reserve. Mitch Daniels may fall along that same line. A candidate that could fair better in the general election than he would in his own primary.

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