Trunkline 2012: Thursday’s News from the Race for the White House – 9/29/11

Bookmark and Share    Today the campaign trail takes us to an invitation to Morgan Freeman from the TEA Party, to the reality of President Obama’s numbers and looks into who is benefiting from Rick Perry’s drop in the polls, Michele Bachmann’s sermon at Liberty University, Romney’s lead in Florida, a statement from the Party chairmen of disgruntled Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina Republicans, and some opinions on why Romney will win the nomination and how Perry can win the nomination.

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Romney and Huckabee Strongest Against Obama

Bookmark and Share The result of a Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll of potential Republican opponents to President Obama, shows that Mitt Romney holds a slight lead over President Obama while Mike Huckabee is even with the President. The Romney lead is well withing the polls margin of error but the numbers that both Huckabee and Romney get are far closer to the President’s than any of the other potential contenders that the poll track.

Rasmussen points out the following little tid bit regarding 2004, the last time thepresidentialelection featured anincumbent running for reelection. They write;

Its interesting to note that Kerry trailed Bush by three points on the night he became the front-runner, and he ended up losing the election by three percentage points. In 2008, Rasmussen tracking polls showed Obama leading McCain consistently by five or six points for the first month after Hillary Clinton bowed out of the race. Obama ended up winning by seven.

Of course, the poll is not exactly an accurate predictor of the 2012 election but it does show us who is, or “isn’t”, getting in to the race with some wind at their back.

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