Draft Palin for President Ad That Will Air in Iowa is Released. Now What?

Bookmark and Share   Sarah Palin fans are still holding out hope for a Palin presidency in 2012 and one of her largest fan clubs, Conservatives4Palin are now debuting a television ad that they will be airing in the first in the nation caucus state of Iowa.

 The ad will air in the Sioux City, Iowa  market and the target date for the ad for its initial airing is Tuesday or Wednesday of this week.

Last week C4P posted the following statement of thanks to financial donors who made the airing of the ad possible;

“Your contributions have made it possible for us to run the Palin reconsider television ad next week in the Sioux City, Iowa market. Thanks to everyone who chipped in to make it possible.”

They added;

“What we do next after the television ad goes up is a more difficult question. If this ad is able to build some momentum for the Governor, the best way to keep that momentum going may be to commission a national GOP primary poll that includes the Governor as one of the options. We’ll see if it’s possible given our resources. We’re open to other ideas but the greatest challenge may be that time is running short for her to reconsider.”

Palin herself has not yet offered any opinion of the groups attempts to make herreconsider her earlier decision  to not run but even if Palin were to reverse her earlier decision, getting on the ballot in most of the primary states will be impossible.   Most state deadlines for ballot access passed in late October.  So if for some reason she was to try to run in the primary, Pali would have to do so as a write-in candidate and that will be twice as hard as a normal campaign.  In addition to trying to win on the issues and with a creative, well organized, campaign strategy, Palin would also have to run an educational campaign that would instruct voters on how to write-her name in on the ballot.  And because of different systems and rules, those instructions are different not only in the various sates, but in many cases, they are different even in the various counties of the various states. 

But beyond  an attempted write-in candidacy in the Republican presidential primaries, is the possibility of a third party presidential candidacy.  For that, Palin still has the time needed to get the signatures and fulfill the different requirements necessary to get on the ballots of the individual states.  That too is not easy, but at this point in time, it is more realistic than a run for the Republican presidential nomination. 

However, if Palin were to dare make an independent run for President, like Teddy Roosevelt in 1912, she would be more likely to cause the Democrat to win than get herself elected. 

Still, the drive behind this “Reconsider” movement is there and it is probably stronger than any support movement behind any of the eight major candidates currently running for the Republican presidential nomination.  At the moment there is even a Draft Sarah Palin Facebook page, Draft Sarah Palin website, and dozens of  similar smaller, state and local groups.

Now that some of the most aggressive moves to draft Sarah Palin are being taken with this new ad,  the question becomes, where do they go from here.?

According to Conservatives4Palin that is “a more difficult question” but they say;

“If this ad is able to build some momentum for the Governor, the best way to keep that momentum going may be to commission a national GOP primary poll that includes the Governor as one of the options. We’ll see if it’s possible given our resources. We’re open to other ideas but the greatest challenge may be that time is running short for her to reconsider.”

How Palin reacts to the ad and how much steam the effort builds has yet to be seen, but while many Palin fans, including myself, would have liked to see Sarah go for it, many others, again like myself, believe that her decision should respected and in my case, can not be reversed in time to run in 2012.

Adrienne Ross, an active player in C4P has herself made that case on C4P.

In an editorial to Palin fans who have become active players in this “Reconsider” movement, Ross writes;

“Conservatives4Palin has been fortunate enough to be considered among the cream of the crop in all things Palin. With that status comes a certain responsibility to act responsibly. As far as I’m concerned, any decision to engage in never-ending Make Palin Reconsider efforts is not acting responsibly, not on the Governor’s behalf and not on behalf of the people who have found us worthy of their time and attention. Therefore, I deem such efforts to be a violation of the trust placed in us.”

She adds;

 I have great appreciation for the many people who have invested themselves into their support of Governor Palin. I trust that as we observe the roads God takes her–or doesn’t take her–down, we will honor her decisions, we will respect one another even when we passionately disagree, and we will continue to be for her. For me, part of that process is taking her at her word, focusing on what I can do to promote what she’s committed to now, and watching the mighty impact we will make. Now, that is the kind of earthquake that will do her proud.

I believe it was difficult for Adrienne Ross to take such a strong stance in opposition to the enthusiasm of her usually like-minded friends.  She, like I, share their enthusiasm, faith, trust, and belief in Sarah Palin, her judgement, her instincts, and her abilities.  But like Adrienne Ross, I too believe that when calling upon that judgement, those instincts, and that ability, becomes akin to pulling teeth, that is the time when you when you must let things fall where they may.  And it is important for Palin fans to remember that  they should not give up on the cause.  The fight continues, we just have to use different weapons and by actively participating in the Republican presidential nomination, they can help us pick the strongest weapon available for us to fight with in next November’s election.  And you can bet that Sarah Palin will be there to help us.

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Palin Announces She Is Not Running For President. Catch the Audio and Written Versions of her Decision Here.

Bookmark and ShareWhat Will It Mean To The Existing Field?

What Role Will She Play?

On Tuesday it was New Jersey Governor Chris Christie who dispelled any rumors about his running for President and now on Wednesday, in what can only be called a week that finally allowed the Republican presidential nomination process to focus on the real, not the imagined candidates, former Alaska Governor and vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin put an an end to speculation about her own run for President.

She revealed her decision on Mark Levin’s popular radio talk show.  You can listen to the entire interview here.

In an open letter on her SarahPAC website, Governor Palin tells supporters  that she decided not to run because she feels that she can be more effective in playing a decisive role in the election of others who defend the conservative values that she has come to represent.   She also promised to;

“continue driving the discussion for freedom and free markets, including in the race for President where our candidates must embrace immediate action toward energy independence through domestic resource developments of conventional energy sources, along with renewables. We must reduce tax burdens and onerous regulations that kill American industry, and our candidates must always push to minimize government to strengthen the economy and allow the private sector to create jobs.”

Palin’s announcement now forces a fickle Republican electorate to choose from among the existing field of assembled candidates.   As of yesterday, a Quinnipiac poll of Republican primary voters indicated that Mitt Romney had a majority of support, while Herman Cain was
quickly rising and Texas Governor Rick Perry was dropping fast.  The next important name and number to appear in the poll was Sarah Palin, who before the news that she was not running, came in fourth place with with 9%.

Quinnipiac National Republican Primary

(Numbers in parentheses indicate previous poll results)

  • Romney – 22% (18)
  • Cain – 17% (5)
  • Perry – 14% (24)
  • Palin – 9% (11)
  • Gingrich – 8% (3)
  • Paul – 6% (9)
  • Bachmann – 3% (10)
  • Santorum – 3% (1)
  • Huntsman – 1% (1)

Now, combining the significant number of Republican voters hoping Palin would run with the existing 17% who are already undecided, the total percentage of the G.O.P. electorate that is up for grabs is 26% or more than 1/4th of the G.O.P. electorate.

This in many ways keeps this a wide open race.  That is especially the case considering that many more voters who have stated support for one candidate or another have also indicated that their support is soft, and can easily be won over by one of the other Republicans in the field.

At the moment, it looks like the name that has the most to gain from Palin’s announcement is Herman Cain.  As indicated in a WH12 post by IkeFriday, Palin’s social conservative and TEA movement support is now likely to go Cain’s way.  Palin’s announcement that she is not running happened at the most opportune time for Cain.  With the tide shifting his way ever since the Florida Straw Poll, the voters left hanging by Palin can easily be swept up in that tide.

As for Palin herself, her decision was most definitely the right one for her.  Palin has been thriving as a cheerleader for the anti-establishment wing of the conservative electorate.  She has raised and made money and advanced the cause.  By keeping herself out of the race, she allows herself to remain a force to contend with.  As we have seen with Rick Perry and others, once one becomes a candidate, maintaining their superstar image is much harder to do.  Palin though has the opportunity to keep her star burning brighter for  another day.

Meanwhile, much of  Palin’s fan base is still trying to digest the decision and absorb what obvious disappointment they feel.  While many of the pro-Palin websites and blogs have not yet even released statements, one leading site, Conservatives 4 Palin, did have a post from Adrienne Ross who wrote;

“The Governor Palin I have supported these past three years, the one I’ve been privileged to come to know, is indeed the real deal, and so for tonight I will leave it at this: I continue to stand with Governor Palin.”

While many Palin supporters will undoubtedly be disappointed with the decision, it does not look like they will be disappointed by her.  As such, her role in the 2012 election could be critical to who the G.O.P. nominates.  But Palin supporters can not give up the hope that we can win back the White House and to do so with a candidate who represents all the values which Sarah does.  Depressed Palin supporters must now engage the existing candidates.  They must make sure that all the candidates are talking the issues we want and proposing the solutions we want.  If we aggressively engage them in such a way, they will have no choice to be run on our agenda.  And once they are there, we will have the opportunity to decide which one can advance our values and our cause successfully.  That is what elections are for.  Now that we know we have no more players in the game, we must play with the hand we  have been dealt.  It is time for voters to stop focussing on who it could have been and start focussing on who it will be.

With only three months to go before the primaries and caucuses begin in earnest, there is much to be done by both the candidates and the voters.   The candidates now have no reason to hold back any strategies that would have been used if Christie or Palin ran.  They are now free to run their campaigns based on what we know, not what we don’t know.  In other words, it is time for the candidates to start acting presidential.  Now we need the Republican candidates to show the nation  that beyond being the Party of limited government, we are also the Party of ideas.  And our candidates must begin to release bold new ideas to solve our old problems.  The candidate that can do that, will give the anti-establishment and TEA movement wings of the G.O.P., a reason for them to at least be willing to look at the candidacies of others such as Romney, Santorum and Gingrich.

Now that the Barnum & Bailey’s Three Ring Circus of candidates has closed up the tent, and last two candidates have pulled out of that mini sized clown car that was crowded with as many as 12 or more other candidates , we can get to business.  The real business, not this business of waiting on someone to get fired up for the job, or have a need to kiss  The Donald’s ring.  Now is the time for each candidate to prove they have solid plans for expanding our economy by unleashing the free market and reining in big government.  We need candidates who will offer plans that seek to cut spending, reform government, and do away with the arcane American tax system that is turning our nation into a consumer economy that buys from outside of our borders and sells very little outside of borders.

In addition to a leader who will unleash the American entrepreneurial spirit, one who will be a world leader.  A leader who can take back the title of leader of the free world from the man who has held it since 2009,  It was in September of 2009 that both President Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu addressed the Uniter Nations.  After those two speeches, it became clear that Netanyahu was the true free leader of the world, not our American President.  In light of that, our nation requires a firm hand, articulate mouth, and open ear.  They will need that articulate mouth to make clear what is right and what is wrong, who are friends, who are foes, and how we can all try to all come be friends.   They need ears that will listen to the responses to such dialogue and when necessary, use their firm hand to slap down those who seek to abridge  the rights of others and jeopardize the lives of the innocent.  We need a clear American foreign policy that starts at securing our international borders and then stands side by side with our friends in Canada, Israel, Great Britain, Spain, Italy,Poland, Australia, and many other true allies of peace.

Truth be told, if given the chance, anyone of a number of existing candidates have the capacity to be such leaders.  There’s Perry, Romney, Gingrich, Cain, Santorum and possibly even Michele Bachmann.  We just need to give them a chance.  All of them.

Important at this juncture though is Sarah Palin.  While Mitt Romney has been a soft but steady frontrunner for the nomination, his appeal among TEA movement and anti-establishment types, has been dismal.  It has been a major reason for his inability to cinch the nomination as early as he could have.   TEA movement voters are too leery of Romney for what they see as an indication of a big government mentality demonstrated by his creation and passage of RomneyCare in Massachusetts.    If Sarah Palin happened to throw her support behind Mitt, she could help him at least break the ice with those voters.  If not, Herman Cain could go much further than many expect.

No  matter what, the first week of October, 2011 will become the official start of the presidential election.  We now know who we have to choose from and it it is time for all of us to focus on the big picture here.  Do the candidates want to play it safe so that they can simply sail on by and defeat a badly wounded President Obama?  Or is there a candidate who is willing to step forward with bold changes and bold visions and take risks, thereby demonstrating that if elected, they will be more than just some caretaker of the White House.   No, they must prove themselves to be a leader who reforms government, restores power to the states, get our fiscal house in order, and ensure our national security and doesn’t do business as usual.

Many of us Palin supporters believe that Sarah would have been that bold leader, but with her out, the mantle seems to be passing in to the hands of Herman Cain.   The only way for Mitt Romney to prevent that from happening is if he starts thinking outside of the Washington, D.C. political box he lives in and demonstrates that instead of playing by the rules of the old political game, he intends to rewrite them and to do so in every way from our tax code, to the way Washington does business.

In the meantime, each of the declared candidates have better be on their A games.  For with Sarah Palin and Chris Christie out there as free agents, none of the candidates’ running for the nomination can afford to be on the wrong side of their endorsements.

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Click on the Image of the SarahPAC Homepage to read the actual letter to her supporters

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Bachmann Needs to the Pull the Knife Out of Palin’s Back

Bookmark and Share   After hiring controversial veteran Republican strategist Ed Rollins, it is expected that Minnesota Congresswoman and Congressional TEA Party Caucus Chair Michele Bachmann, will at any time announce her candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination. If she does run, while Bachmann could very well prove to be formidable in early nominating contests like Iowa and South Carolina, her plight to become the Republican presidential nominee will be far from easy. Now, thanks to her new loose cannon political operative, Ed Rollins, that plight has just gotten much harder.

On a radio show hosted by Fox News’ Brian Kilmeade, Rollins took the opportunity to trash Sarah Palin.

In addition to claiming “Sarah has not been serious over the last couple of years,” Rollins stated “She [Palin] got the Vice Presidential thing handed to her, she didn’t go to work in the sense of trying to gain more substance, she gave up her governorship.”

Rollins who was up until recently an operative for Mike Huckabee, claimed that now that Mike Huckabee’s not in the race, in terms of the Republican running for President, Bachmann is “probably the best communicator” He also added “Michele Bachmann and others worked hard, she has been a leader of the Tea Party which is a very important element here, she has been an attorney, she has done important things with family values.”

And Sarah Palin hasn’t?

At 68, perhaps Rollins is losing what good judgment he has left. His claim that Palin “has not been serious” is not only an utterly ludicrous charge, it is a very politically dumb and strategically damaging statement for him to make. Millions ….. “millions”… of Americans take Sarah Palin quite seriously and they take her efforts to elect limited government, family values oriented, fiscal conservatives who have an appreciation for the U.S. Constitution, very seriously.

As for the charge that Palin can’t be taken seriously because she was, as he argues, simply handed the vice presidential

Ed Rollins

nomination in 2008 and then gave up her governorship, perhaps Rollins memory is slipping. I guess he forgets all the legitimate reasons why Palin was picked to run for Vice President. Some of those reasons include her willingness to oppose and defeat a popular sitting Governor from her own Party after rooting out corruption and standing up for justice. Another reason includes her defense and promotion of family values and her ability to govern as a Mayor and a Governor in a way that was fiscally responsible and legislatively efficient.

As for her giving up the governorship, Rollins should really avoid using the propaganda of liberals to promote one conservative and denounce another. As unbelievable as it may seem to Rollins, Palin is not your average politician. She brings to her politics a level of sincerity that is rarely seen in the D.C. beltway that Ed Rollins is familiar with. And it is that sincerity which forced Palin to decide that stepping down was the best thing for the state of Alaska because it would have allowed her very capable Lieutenant Governor to continue the business of the state, unhindered by the ridiculous number of expensive, time consuming, frivolous lawsuits that liberals were relentlessly attacking Palin with.

Ever since she was nominated for Vice President and delivered some energy to the lackluster campaign of John McCain, the left lost all self control and could not give up on trying to tear Palin apart. She embodies everything the left fears in a conservative. And so they undertook an assault on Palin that she believed was not in the best interest of the people Alaska. So instead, she allowed Sean Parnell, the Lieutenant Governor, to take the reigns of power and run with the agenda she set, but to do so unincumbered by the liberal effort to take Palin down. Palin could have easily thought of what might have been best for her personal political career. But she didn’t. Instead she put the people first. And when it was all said and done, what new responsibility did Palin undertake? She set out on a mission to help insure that in 2010, true conservatives got elected to positions as Senator, Congressmen and Governors.

Rollins may not want to see it that way. But it is obvious that he doesn’t want to see the truth. The truth makes Sarah Palin the greatest threat to Michele Bachmann’s popularity and success that there is.  So instead Rollins resorts to trash talk.

But that’s Ed Rollins. For as good as he once was….and he was good, Rollins has also shown a penchant for putting his foot in his mouth.

In 1993, after working on the upset victory of Christine Todd Whitman over New Jersey Governor Jim Florio, Rollins deposited himself right into in the middle of a scandal that involved political campaign payoffs to New Jersey ministers. He told Time Magazine

“We went into black churches and we basically said to ministers who had endorsed Florio, ‘Do you have a special project?’ And they said, ‘We’ve already endorsed Florio.’ We said, ‘That’s fine, don’t get up on the Sunday pulpit and preach. We know you’ve endorsed him, but don’t get up there and say it’s your moral obligation that you go on Tuesday to vote for Jim Florio.'”

He later tried to backtrack by claiming his original statement was an exaggeration.

This latest gaffe, only enforces the perception that Rollins is losing it.  For someone who was hired to promote Bachmann, in just a few moments of air time, he has hurt her far more than he has helped.  One need to go no further than Michele’s Facebook page to see evidence of that.

In just a matter of hours since Rollins comments came out, hundreds of Face book “Fans” have begun to turn on the Congresswoman. For instance there was this from Allen Pishotta:

“Why have you stabbed Sarah Palin in the back after all she did for you last year? Why have you forsaken the Tea Party Movement in order to become a “stalking horse” for Mitt Romney and yes we all know that you are working for the RINO Romney campaign so it is no secret. What was the political bribe needed to become a “Judas” and sell …conservatives out? I once heavily supported you now I will never give you another dime after this. You nickname is now Michele “Backstabbing” Bachmann because that is what you did.”

And this from Doreen Graney:

“Hey, Michelle, the last time Ed Rollins was part of a winning campaign my oldest son was a newborn baby. Today is his 30th birthday. Hope you’re not paying him much. You won’t be getting any support from me, financial or otherwise.”

Sue Lynn writes:

“Lost my support….Your just another politician…Backstabbing a good friend that helped you get re-elected…So much for that Christian talk you talk about…sure don’t practice it…I will never support you in the future because of your actions to a good friend”

Jolyn Colon demands an apology and states:

“Ed Rollins has a reputation for being a bomb thrower. Did you know that when you hired him? You need to step up personally and 1.) issue an apology to Sarah and 2.) fire this idiot before he steps in it again. Anything else is not good enough.”

And Gary Jackson was particularly mad:

“Michele, Sarah Palin and her millions of supporters have ALWAYS had your back. ALWAYS! Now you go hire one of the biggest scum bags on earth to run your campaign and the first thing he does is trash Sarah Palin.

You realize you have effectively ended any chance you ever had at ever being elected, right?

Good luck winning your House se…at again without any Palinista support and $$$$

What a pathetic loser you are.”

Most offhand comments usually have a short political shelf life. So very often statements like those made by Rollins,  which inspired the type of anymosity seen in the words above, are normally healed by time. But that is not the case here. Unless Michele Bachmann makes some very substantial overtures to Palin  and isnure that not only are Rollins’ remarks are retracted, but that she in no way shares his thinking about Palin, Bachmann will be seriously hurt by this. As Republican red as Palin supporters are, they are also true blue to Palin and quite defensive of her.  After witnessing over two years of endless, unfair, attacks on her and her family, Palin’s supporters have a right to be defensive. And they especially have a right to defend her against one who is suppose to be on their side.

Ed Rollin’s remarks were incredibly stupid, in every way. Politically, he alienated Palin supporters, the very people who could have easily been backers of Bachmann if Palin does not run, and cost Bachmann that potential support .  And there was absolutely no reason for that. Just this past Sunday, when Sarah Palin was asked by Fox News’ Chris Wallace, if there was room for her and Michele Bachmann in the 2012 Republican presidential race, Palin gave Bachmann credit for having stregths of her own that she would bring to the race, and went on to say that Bachmann would be a welcome addition to the race…. “the more the merrier” said Palin.

Unlike Rollins, who claims that Palin is “not serious”, in that answer, Palin proved to be more politically savvy than Rollins, a so called political expert. Well now it is time for Michele Bachmann to show how politically savvy she is. Does she have the ability to correct the wrong done to her by her own political consultant? Short of firing him, Palin supporters may not ever believe so.

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Bookmark and Share On Monday, Sarah Palins website, Sarah PAC, was spruced up and transformed from a rather bland, one page, lackluster site occupying web space, into a multimedia platform with information, news and links. The move is prompting many to believe that Palin is in fact readying for a run for President. The revamped website comes on the heels of what was a battle cry of a speech for commonsense conservatism that she gave in Wisconsin on Saturday. That speech alone, prompted many to change their minds about what they though Sarah would do. But the combination of the two has really upped the speculation about a presidential candidacy.

From the previous lack of coordinated moves that would usually signal one preparing to run for President, I had begun to think that it was slightly more than likely that Sarah Palin was not running for President in 2012. Yet Palins desire to continuously make sure that she stakes a high visibility position on every major issue of the day has me too unsure to place any bets against her running. But with Palin you just never know. I have even thought that she could possibly be working on her own time schedule because she never intends to run in the Republican primaries and caucuses. I have thought that Palin could possibly be preparing to build herself up as the ultimate anti-establishment candidate and run for President as an independent candidate. Maybe even running as a TEA Party candidate. I still dont put it past her to do that, but it is not very likely.

But therein lies the intrigue that is Sarah. You can never quite be sure what Palin is going to do. This is a woman who as Governor, kept her pregnancy a secret until the baby was practically born. This is the same woman who stunned the political world when two years in to her term, she abruptly resigned from the office of Governor of Alaska so that the business of Alaska could proceed without the interference of endless frivolous lawsuits that came with the spotlight she after being nominated for Vice President. And to most people even that was a surprise. So Sarah Palin is full of surprises. She likes it that way. It allows her to make decisions and think them through long before the media pounces. Those surprises also make it possible for Palin to completely own entire news cycles and push all other events off the front page. In many ways she is a PR genius.

Polls currently have Palin in the middle of the pack and tracking shows that her approval ratings have been making a U-Turn in the wrong direction. But one should not assume that such things will deter Palin from running. Those numbers can easily be turned around. And if she sees a field of Republican candidates that does not have an electable prospect who does not say it like it is and doesn’t shares her anti-establishment beliefsand desire for a truly limited government, with less spending and less taxes, than she will run. Sarah will jump in to fill that void. At the moment, with no truly clear favorite in the running, that void is there and so long as it remains, so will the potential for a Sarah Palin presidential candidacy.

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Palin Proves To Be Powerful at Madison TEA Party Rally

Bookmark and Share “Madison, I am so proud to be with you today. Madison, these are the frontlines in the battle for the future of our country! Those were the words used by Sarah Palin as she began a fiery speeech on the steps of the state Capitol building in Madison, Wisconsin for a TEA Party rally that was held on Saturday. Palin’s speech proved that she still has what it takes to fire up the Republican base as well as the anti-establishment, limited government, less spending state rights, Taxed Enough Already movement. Hundreds joined in the type of boisterous cheers for Palin, that are usuallreserved for rock stars or stars of the silver screen. But Palin earnedthose cheers with a speech that struck every nerve of the anti-governemtn, anti-obama,crowd and she do so in a way that makes it impossible to not think of her as a potential candidate for the Republican presidential nomination. (see video below)

As cold as it was in the sleet and snow of the Madison rally, Sarah’s speech heated things up as she spoke of her family of union members and teachers who understand that a pension is a promise that must be kept but that a government must also remain solvent inorder to have the ability to keep that promise.

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