Can Perry Win by Describing Social Security as a Ponzi Scheme? Ron Johnson Did? What Do You Think? Take the White House 2012 Poll

Since last week’s G.O.P. presidentia debatem the first one which Texas Governor Rick perry participated in, there has been

consternation about his calling Social Security as a “Ponzi Scheme”. The description even compelled Mitt Romney to declare victory in the debate and to suggest that Parry all but lost the presidential nomination.

The truth though is that an important part of Perry’s Ponzi Scheme description seems to be constantly left out by his critics. That part is where Rick Perry states that is a Ponzi Scheme for future generations. On that he is right. Furthermore; Perry points out that his desire to reform Social Security does not change it for those who are already being funded and for whom the funds exists. The same goes for those who expect to be on it in the relatively near future. His changes are directed for future generations for which the money will not be there to fund under the current system.

Nonetheless, the truth Perry speaks about the “future” of Social Security has been controversial. Fir that reason, this week, White House 2012 asks readers if it is possible for Governor Perry to win the nomination with his opinion of Social Security. To participate in the poll click here or just vote in the poll question box in the top portion of the column to the right of this blog.

As to the question itself, whether Perry’s view of Social Security is risky or not, it should be understood that despite the issue being a political third rail that the left electrifies with propaganda designed to scare senior citizens, it is possible to address the issue of Social Security reform in a campaign and still get elected.

In the recent 2010 midterm elections, underdog Republican businessman Ron Johnson successfully defeated once heavily favored liberal Senator Russ Feingold.

After a hard fought campaign in which the issue of Social Security was often raised, Johnson and the left once again tried to use their Social security scare tactics. Johnson, who like Rick Perry had once referred to Social Security as a Ponzi Scheme, put out the following ad.

Ron Johnson a, is now Senator Johnson and Russ Feingold is now a shocked and angry former Senator.

So don’t write off Rick Perry.  If he plays his cards right and deals with the issue of Social Security reform properly, his Ponzi Scheme definition could help him.

New Hampshire Straw Poll Puts Candidate Karger in First Place

Bookmark and ShareThis past Thursday evening first time presidential candidate, Fred Karger won the St. Anselm College Republican Straw Poll. College Republican President Brock Weber announced the results to a room full of participants at the famous New Hampshire Institute of Politics after voting ended at 9:00 pm. The straw poll was conducted all week on the campus of this conservative Catholic College located in New Hampshire’s largest city.

Karger was the only presidential candidate or potential presidential candidate to have addressed the gathering but his win was still a surprise and an indication of just how little a lock anyone has on the nomination at this stage in the game. Of course this straw poll is not neccessarily a good indication of the opinion of New Hampshire voters. The pool of voters in this poll were of a specific age group and many students attending the college from other states, are not even eligible to vote in New Hampshire. But a win is a win and in this case it was a pretty significant one for Fred Karger.

The final results were as follows:

  • Fred Karger, 79 Votes
  • Mitt Romney, 74 Votes
  • Donald Trump, 26 Votes
  • Tim Pawlenty, 24 Votes
  • Ron Paul, 24 Votes
  • Rudy Giuliani, 22 Votes
  • Rick Santorum, 20 Votes
  • Sarah Palin, 9 Votes
  • Herman Cain, 8 Votes
  • Gary Johnson, 8 Votes
  • Mike Huckabee, 8 votes
  • Newt Gingrich, 7 Votes
  • Haley Barbour, 3 Votes
  • Mitch Daniels, 2 Votes
  • John Bolton, 1 Vote
  • Rand Paul, 1 Vote
  • Other, 6 Votes

Although all straw polls are little more than beauty contests, a win like this for a virtual unknown can help boost his name ID and increase the viability of Karger’s candidacy as time goes by. It will also help his case when it comes to being included in future Republican presidential debates.

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White House 2012 Weekly Poll: Who will win this week’s CPAC Straw Poll?

Bookmark and ShareThis week, White House 2012 is preparing to cover the 2011 Conservative Political Action Conference. That being the case, we thought we would try to find out just how in tune our readers are with the base of the Republican Party. In an attempt to do so, we have initiated a poll that asks our readers to tell us who they believe will be the winner of the closely watched CPAC Straw Poll.

So we ask you to click here to vote, or follow the link provided at the beginning of this post.

Remember, this poll is not asking who you want to win the poll. It is asking who you think the winner of the CPAC Starw Poll will be. CPAC is scheduled to announce their poll results at 5:15 PM on Saturday, February 15th.Our poll will close the evening before, atmidnight. So take the White House 2012 poll and tell us……. “Of the elected officials speaking at this weekend’s Conservative Political Action Conference, who do you expect to be the winner of the CPAC Straw Poll?”

For a complete schedule of events and speakers at this years CPAC convention visit here

The event has become a rite of passage for Republicans who are trying to make their way down the path to the White House and is seen as an agenda setting gathering of the G.O.P.s political base.

This year, speakers include:

Andrew Breitbart, Ann Coulter, Wayne LaPierre, David Horowitz, Donald Rumsfeld, Phyllis Schlaffly, Congressmen Paul Ryan, Connie Mack,and Allen West, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Colorado Senator Mike Lee and Florida Governor Rick Scott.

But in addition to those speakers, the following list ofpotential Republican presidential candidates will also be addressing the lively crowd:

  • THURSDAY, February 10:
    10:00 AM: Michele Bachmann
    1:00 PM: Newt Gingrich book signing.
    2:00 PM: Rick Santorum
    4:30 PM: Paul Ryan
    6:15 PM: A reception co-sponsored by SarahPAC.
  • FRIDAY, February 11:
    10:30 AM: Mitt Romney
    1:30 PM: John Thune
    3:00 PM: Tim Pawlenty
    3:30 PM: Ron Paul
    4:00 PM: Rick Perry
    4:30 PM: Herman Cain
    7:30 PM: Mitch Daniels
  • SATURDAY, February 12
    9:30 AM: Haley Barbour

But remember, before the CPAC votes are counted, be sure to show just how astute and in touch White House 2012 voters are. Cast you ballot in our poll first.

What Do Republicans Find Most Important in Choosing A Presidential Nominee?

White House 2012 Poll Results

Bookmark and ShareIn its first weekly poll, White House 2012 asked Republicans what the most important quality or ability they are looking for in the Republican presidential nominee is?

Respondents were given a list of 14 issue relatedqualities or abilities to choose from. Of all them, an overwhelming majority of 39% declared that they want the next Republicans to be a fiscal conservative. Following far behind with 14% was the desire for the Republican nominee to be first and foremost, a strict constitutionalist.

Tying for third place with 6% each, was a mix of priorities that ranged from positions on specific issues and general ideology, to placing a priority on characteristics that specifically addressed electability. Two choices, foreign affairs experience and being a political outsider received no votes at all.

See complete results below:

Based upon the demographic which follow this blog and participated in the poll, this loosely controlled survey strongly hints that most Republicans understand that America needs to get its financial house in order and they want a leader who will focus on that issue and have a plan to control taxing and spending that is based on sound economic principles and fiscal restraint. By finding the phrase fiscal conservative to be the most desired aspect of a candidate and their campaign, it is safe to say that at this point in time, G.O.P. voters view the economy and our national debt as a top priority and the most integral part of the Republican nominees campaign.

Furthermore, the numbers interestingly suggest that fiscal responsibility is an issue which so many Republicans agree to be the immediate priority, that it even dwarfs the usual priorities that the Republican base wants to see their nominee devote much of their attention to advance, such as abortion and even their activism on social issues in general such as gay marriage, school prayer and other related specific issues. This does not mean that the G.O.P. will suddenly ignore those issues but it does insinuate that people like Mitch Daniels could play quite well within the Party electorate.

Daniels is a leading fiscal conservative both by record and intention.But he received a great deal of criticism for suggesting that Republicans call a truce on social issues. This quickly drew the ire of social conservatives. Yet Mitch Daniels simply implied that the priority must be on the economy, jobs and spending. This poll agrees with that sentiment. But at the same time, as Governor of Indiana, Mitch Daniels has a solid record on social issues and the right-to-life. In fact he probably has one of the strongest pro-life records of most Governors. So while his record should please social conservatives, Daniels remarks are in sync with what most Republicans think are the top priorities.

Other important interpretations of this poll include the noticeably low percentage of the Party which consider a nominees expertise and prioritization on national security and in foreign affairs should be. Nearly ten years after 9/11, national security has been dwarfed by a desire to focus on other issues. This would confirm the opinion of former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton who threatens to run for President in order to elevate the issue of national security to the forefront of the discussion. Bolton maintains that we are at risk from outside forces far more than most believe and that the Obama Administration is not properly dealing with those threats.

But while Bolton may be right, at the moment it is clear from this poll, that running on the issue of national security would not win him the nomination at this time.

At 6%, even the hot button issue of illegal immigration and border security take a distant back seat to the emphasis that Republicans want to see on fiscal conservatism and a focus on strictly adhering to the U.S. Constitution. Republicans who took the survey lump illegal immigration and border security in third place with opposition to abortion, being a proven leader, having business experience, their ability to work with Democrats and the electability issue of being able to attract independent voters to their campaign.

That last one is another important note.It is interesting tosee the apparent desire of Republicans to be more concerned with beating President Obama with someone who they believes can properly deal with the issue most important to them, rather than just beating him for the sake of winning. In this poll, Republicans put little importance on the appeal of a candidate in regards to winning over independent voters or being considered an articulate orator as President Obama was considered. This is however, a question Republicans must concern themselves with at some point. Will they risk nominating a dull and uninspiringcandidate who they agree with on their most important issues but lacks but lacks the political aestheticstooutperformPresident Obama?

While a focus on fiscal responsibility receives more than twice the support than thatof a focus on strict constitutionalism, bothareas are the only ones to receive double-digitsupport. That too is an important result relative to these poll answers. Together fiscal responsibility and a focus on constitutional adherence, constitute 53% of the total vote……..more than half. Part of their combined massive combined plurality is largely due to the influence of the TEA Party movement.

These two issues are at the core of the TEA Partys being. They are the issues that strongly influenced the historic midterm election results that gave Republicans some of their biggest majorities in history. If the results of this first White House 2012 are accurate, right now, the influence of the TEA Party movement remains strong within the G.O.P..

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Mitch Daniels Wins Republican Presidential Straw Poll

Bookmark and ShareEarly polls regarding who people think the Republican nominee for President in 2012 should be, are merely snapshots of only the moment at which they are taken and not necessarily reliably indicative of what their opinions will be in the future. And depending on how the question is asked and who makes up the audience that is polled, these “snapshots” are not even always accurate of current sentiments.

That said, one of the newest presidential straw polls of interest comes out of Washington state, where unlike the heavily polled states of Iowa and New Hampshire, Indiana’s Governor, Mitch Daniels is receiving a whopping 17% lead over his nearest opponent, Mitt Romney.

The straw poll was taken by the Washington State Republican Committee during their annual meeting, making it one that gauges the state’s Party organization and its local leaders and activists. Such support is often critical to a candidates success on Election Day.

  1. 31% Governor Mitch Daniels, Indiana
  2. 14% Former Governor Mitt Romney, Massachusetts
  3. 13% Former Governor Tim Pawlenty, Minnesota
  4. 9% Governor Chris Christie, New Jersey
  5. 8% Senator John Thune, South Dakota
  6. 5% Governor Bobby Jindal, Louisiana
  7. 3% Representative Paul Ryan, Wisconsin
  8. 3% Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Georgia
  9. 3% Senator Jim DeMint, South Carolina
  10. 3% Former Governor Sarah Palin
  11. 2% Governor Haley Barbour, Mississippi
  12. 2% Former Governor Mike Huckabee, Arkansas
  13. 1% Representative Mike Pence, Indiana
  14. 1% Ambassador Jon Huntsman, Utah
  15. 1% Representative Michele Bachmann, Minnesota
  16. 1% Representative Ron Paul, Texas

These straw poll results are quite different than those of other states.

Whereas in other recent polls, names like Palin, Gingrich and Mike Huckabee, show up in the front of field, in Washington, some of the more usual big name conservatives are languishingbehind the rest of thepack. In fact aside from the surprise story herebeing that Mitch Daniels is the big winner, and has been handed an unexpected boost to his presidential ambitions, the other big story to come out of these poll results is the fact that Mike Huckabee is a big loser. Here, Huckabee ties with Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour in 11th place and 2% of the vote.  In other polls, he is either the winner or somewhere close to it. His dismal showing in Washington, can be an indication of Huckabee’s lack of attractiveness as a candidate to voters ourtside of the South and Iowa.

Another important note in these results is Mitt Romney’s second place showing.

A second place finish in Washington wouldnot normally be problematic. But given Romney’s relatively high profile since his 2008 presidential campaign, coming in second tosomeone like Mich Daniels is a clear signal that Mitt Romney is in a weak position. And to emphasize that point, is the thedistancethat existed between first and second place. Mitch Daniels beat Romney by more percentage points than Romney even recieved. making matters worse for Romney is the indication that unless the conservative vote is split among numerous, Romney will have a tough time consoliditaing a clear majority of his own.

Washington state is not known as a haven for conservative politics. It leans to the left. But while the results reflects a lack of popularity for the most aggressive conservatives, it doesn’t necessarily reject conservatives. Neither Mitch Daniels or Mitt Romney can be considered liberal and aside from the third place showing of relatively moderate Tim Pawlenty, right behindthem are New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, and South Dakota Senator John Thune, also fairly conservative people. All of this leads me to walk away from these results with the following extrapolation.

Right now, Washington state Republican activists are most concerned with the issues of spending, the deficit and budgets. As such, Mitch Daniels’ reputation and record in these areas have legs. Furthermore; while Mitch Daniels personally embraces the conservative line on social issues, he does not highlight these issues in ways that others like Huckabee and Palin do. To me it would seem that Daniels’ having gone on record as suggesting that Republicans call a truce on social issues and focus more on the greatest immediate threats we face, is one that Washington state Republicans agree with and appreciate.

Washington sends 43 delegates to the Republican National Convention and holds its nominating contest in February of 2012.

As for making a decision to win those delegates in run for President in 2012, Mitch Daniels has made clear that he will make his decision when the Indiana legislative session is over in April. But lately he has stated that he knows he must make a decision soon because the plans of many people hinge upon it. Other recent statements by Daniels regarding the problems that we as a nation face, have helped to make it sound like he is leaning more towards a run for the GOP nomination, than not.

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