Democrats face dilemma as Obama may be kept off the ballot in Georgia

  Bookmark and Share   President Barack Obama’s Georgia supporters may be disappointed come election day.  Five men challenged Obama’s eligibility to be a presidential candidate on the Georgia ballot arguing he is not a “natural-born citizen.”  This has been the stance of those now called “birthers” since former democratic presidential candidate and now secretary of the state, Hillary Clinton, brought forth the issue in 2008. Former Congressman and current Georgia Governor, Republican Nathan Deal, was notably outspoken in questioning Obama’s birth eligibility.  December 10, 2009, a letter arrived at the White House impugning Obama’s eligibility to be president from Deal.  GOP Presidential teaser Donald Trump also jumped on the birther bandwagon in 2011.  When Obama finally produced a birth certificate, many thought this case was closed.

David Weldon, Kevin Powell and Carl Swinson are a few of the plaintiffs who, with the help of The Liberty Legal Foundation, have successfully challenged Obama’s eligibility.  Obama filed a motion to dismiss the complaint.  This motion was challenged by The Liberty Legal Foundation.  The motion to dismiss was denied by Judge Malihi.  All parties are ordered to appear in Federal Court on January 26th at 9 am.

The Liberty Legal Foundation states this is a bold step because “this ruling ensures that the Georgia court will be the first court to address the substantive Constitutional issue of eligibility.  All other courts that have heard challenges to Obama’s Constitutional qualifications to hold office have refused to address the substantive issue and have dismissed on procedural grounds.”

The ramifications of this court possibly ruling against Obama and keeping him of the Georgia ballot would be significant.  For Georgian democratic candidates, it may leave them stranded.  Voter apathy may increase and turn the democratic base completely off from the election process.  Voter turn-out is crucial for democratic candidates.  Voter turn out tends to be higher in presidential elections than in non-presidential election cycles.  If voters believe they are not able to vote for their presidential candidate, they may not show up to the polls. This would improve the chances of an already republican stronghold to become a republican superpower.

Although Obama certainly does not need Georgia to be re-elected, not having an incumbent president on he election ballot may give democrats the rallying cry they have been hoping for to galvanize support and overtake local, state and congressional majorities.  Calls of disenfranchisement and discrimination could unite supporters and revive leadership and increase democratic presence in state and local legislature.

The hearing is open to the public.  The location is the Justice Center Building, 160 Pryor St, Atlanta, GA Courtroom G40 on the ground floor.

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Newt Was Right!

Bookmark and Share    Not long after Congress pinned its hopes on a so-called ‘Super Committee’ of 12 Congressmen and Senators to solve America’s deficit and spending problems, Newt Gingrich came along and essentially called it a joke.   He was a lone voice who called the creation of the “Super Committee”  “a truly dumb idea.”

Now Newt  released  web video [see video below] , with clips from the August 11th presidential debate in Iowa, where wasproved himself to be the leading critic of the “Super Committee” and predicted its failure.

Transcript of Newt’s quotes in the video:

“I think this Super Committee is about as dumb an idea as Washington has come up with in my lifetime.”

“I used to run the House of Representatives, I have some general notion of these things. The idea that 523 senators and congressman are going to sit around for 4 months while 12 brilliant people — mostly picked for political reasons — are going to sit in some room and brilliantly come up with $1 trillion, or force us to choose between gutting our military and accepting a tax increase is irrational.”

“They’re going to walk in just before Thanksgiving and say ‘Alright, we can shoot you in the head or cut off your right leg, which do you prefer?'”

“What they oughta do is scrap the committee right now, recognize it’s a dumb idea, go back to regular legislative business, assign every subcommittee the task of finding savings, do it out in the open through regular legislative order, and get rid of this secret phony business.”

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Air War Begins as Perry and Cain Try to Take Control of Iowa

Bookmark and Share  With less than two months to go before voting to pick a Republican presidential nominee begins, and Thanksgiving and Christmas cutting down on the amount of time candidates have to get their message, Rick Perry and Herman Cain have begun airing radio ads.

Perry’s ad [hear the ad below this post] is a an upbeat ad that avoids negative attacks and focusses on his reform minded agenda by touting how he is not content with “tinkering” with our tax code, he wants it dismantled and replaced with his 20% tax plan.  The ad also quotes glowing praise of Perry’s plan that has been offered by leading conservative tax and financial experts.

In its entirety, the radio spot is the type of piece that could help him stabilize his downward spiral in the polls among Iowa voters.  If his ad buy is significant and if he keeps it running for decent amount of time in the right markets, it will have a positive effect.  Of course it won’t be enough to save him, but is enough to give the opportunity to pull himself up.

Dean Kleckner

Meanwhile Herman Cain has begun to air his first ad in Iowa.

Cain’s piece utilizes the endorsement of Iowa’s former Farm Bureau chief Dean Kleckner, as the basis for his appeal to the agriculture dominated state. Having been the President of the Iowa Farm Bureau and the American Farm Bureau for more than 24 years his support will resonate among a good portion of the Iowa electorate.  Kleckner is currently on the board of directors for Iowans for Tax Relief.

In the ad, Kleckner says that Herman Cain will stand up for farmers.

In a letter explaining his support for Cain, Kleckner explained that he finds Cain to be a proven CEO with the knowledge and ability to reverse the tide of government over regulation which is damaging the agriculture business.  He stresses that running a farm is like running a business and suggests that with his outstanding record in business, he is best equipped to help farmers.

Separate statements made to the Des Moines Register Cain explains;

“I spent much of my life in the food industry and we could not have succeeded without great American agriculture. I want to thank Mr. Kleckner for his endorsement and let all farmers know that we will stand with them as they try to feed the world.”

Controversial Cain campaign chief Mark Block states;

 “The fact that our first ad in Iowa focuses on agriculture should send a message to the Iowa ag community how much we value the contribution of farmers to the American economy and their importance in the caucuses.”

Both ads are good and have the ability to move some numbers in Iowa, but with candidates like Bachmann, Gingrich, and Romney, saving their money and holding their powder, it has yet to be seen what they put out.  The right message presented creatively and supported by a substantial follow up in the form of a good ground game, could easily turn back any improved numbers that Perry and Cain may gain with their new ads.   No matter what though, now is when the size of the candidate’s campaign treasury really starts making the difference.  A well financed campaign like Rick Perry’s can either spend their money on a steady stream of ads, from now till the Caucus takes place, while others like Cain will have to be far more sparing in their ad buy strategy.

The one thing all the candidates should be fearing is Romney.

There is no doubt that he has the money to spend, yet he has not spent it in Iowa.  Does that mean he will save his money and make an insurmountable investment in contests after Iowa?  Or is he going to saturate Iowa with messages that dominate the air in December, when Iowans really start making up their minds about who they will support.

Where They Stand. White House 2012’s Monthly Ranking of the Republican Presidential Contenders

Bookmark and Share For the fourth month in a row, Mitt Romney remains ranked number one on White House 2012’s ranking of the Republicanpresidential contenders. Each month a formula that combines the ranking of each member of White House 2012’s contributing staff establishes the final results. And they are as folLows:
  1. Mitt Romney
  2. Mitch Daniels
  3. Tim Pawlenty
  4. Newt Gingrich
  5. Sarah Palin
  6. Rick Santorum
  7. Mike Huckabee
  8. Ron Paul
  9. Gary Johnson
  10. Donald Trump
  11. Jon Huntsman
  12. Michele Bachmann
  13. Herman Cain
  14. Rick Perry
  15. John Bolton
  16. General David Petraeus
  17. Jim DeMint
  18. Rudy Giuliani
  19. Chris Christie
  20. Buddy Roemer

During the month of April, therewere notruly dramatic shifts from the previous month. The top ten remains largely the same with a few moves up or down for some.

Although not an announced candidate, Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels continues to hold on to the number two spot, while Newt Gingrich and Tim Pawlenty switch places asNewt drops a notchto fourth place and former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty moves up oneto third. Former Alaska Governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin holds on to fifth place and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorummaintains sixth place.

The most significant jump up in the ranking for any candidate, comes from to self-describedLibertarian-Republican and former Governor of New Mexico, Gary Johnson. He moves up four slots to ninth place. Fairing the worst in the WH12ranking is conservative South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint. DeMinthas repeatedly stated that he will not run for President, but with his intention to be a part of the process in order to shape the debate, there is still a perceived lingering chance for him to become a late entry in the race, especially if there does not rise to the surface a clear conservative choice in the field. But the chances of that are slipping as DeMintfallssix places, to 17th.

New to the WH12ranking this month is former Louisiana Governor Buddy Roemer. Out of twenty slots, he comes in 20th. He may begin to rise a littleafter Thursday’s presidential debate in South Carolina on Fox News. With only a few of the possible candidates attending, this will probablybe one of Roemer’s only chances of getting noticed and for people to learn that he is running.

If there is anything to berealized from this month’s WH12ranking, it is that there have been no events or movements by potential candidates that have swayed people one way or the other. Thus confirming that the 2012 election is running on a later schedule than it did in 2008. Aside from the confirmation that Haley Barbour is not running and that Donald Trump is looking like he may run, little has changed the conventionalthinking regarding Mitt Romney’s tentative frontrunner status which is a natural result of his 2008 campaign for President.And there is nothing that has changed the ability for Mitch Daniels to be a significantly competitiveforce if he decides to run. At the same time, according to WH12’sranking, based upon the current pool of possible candidates, names like Gingrich, Santorum, and Palin seem to show that they have a good chance of also being competetive, top-tier candidates.

In the end, at this point in time, it is anyone’s guess who Republicans will have opposing President Obama in 2012. That lack of a solid and obvious choice simply creates more and more doubt as many speculate that some yet unnamed, late entries in to the race will surface. With some names having announced that they will definitelynot run in 2012, we are left wondering who those late entrants might be. Could Texas Governor Rick Perry be pulled in to the race? Will one of the dynamic, but still untested, new governors be drawn in to the nomination contest? Is it possible that any number of them can enter the race, such as Nevada’s Brian Sandoval, New Mexico’s Susana Martinez, Wisconsin’s Scott Walker or even slightly more senior newbies like Virginia’s Bob McDonnell or New Jersey’s powerhouse, Chris Christie? It is possible but highly unlikely. Any one of them have a much better shot at ending up on the presidential nominee’s vice presidential short list.

Could a fed up Republican from the senate enter? That too is possible. Maybe someone like Wyoming’s Senator, Dr. John Barrasso, or Alabama’s Jeff Sessions decide there just isn’t a suitable candidate in the race and so they jump in themselves.While the chance is there, it is quite slim. If any name that has not yet been discussed becomes a surprise candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, expect it to come from somewhere outside of politics. Like from the ranks of successful entrepreneurs. Maybe some wealthy, virtually unknownname like that of former naval reserve intelligenceofficer John Crowley,will stepon to the stage and sucks the air out of the room. John Crowley is the highly successful owner of a biotech company. But his business was not based on money, it was based on love. Love for his children who had a disease so rare, that the biotech industry had no incentive to pursuea successful treatment for it. So against all odds, Crowley started his own biotech company. Not only did the risky move produce a succesful treatment that keeps his children alive, his company continues to make new breakthroughs within the industry.

In 2010, because the Crowley story was so powerful, it was made into a movie, “Extraordinay Measures” starring Harrison Ford and Brendan Fraser.

A person like Crowley has the type of intelligence, personal fortitude and can-do spirit that is truly American and that American’s can truly appreciate. And Crowley’s ability to translatethat into political success can not be underestimated.

fortunatelyfor President Obama, Crowley is not likely to run for President. Instead, to the fortune of the state of New Jersey, John Crowley may be running for the United States Senate against Bob Menendez. But there are many other compelling success stories andexamples of true leadership that exist outside of the halls of Congress or governor mansions. So there could still be a surprise candidate who could shake things up, but the clock is ticking and the opportunity to be a viable candidate is dwindling. Short of that, this month’s White House 2012 ranking is the way we see the nomination going so far.

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White House 2012…..Providing the Bottom Line in the Race for President

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