Trunkline 2012: Wednesday’s Wit and Words from the Campaign Trail, 10/19/11

Bookmark and SharePerry prepares to call for a flat tax while conservatives look down on him, Herman Cain fans launch questionable endless spending super PAC, New Hampshire pushes Nevada, Romney and Cain slug it out in the South, Newt Gingrich writes about death by Bureaucracy, Communists endorse Occupy Wall. Street protests, and Michelle Malkin talks about Harry Reid and President Obama’s uselessness.  That’s just some of what is in todays, news from the campaign trail in Trunkline 2012

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Republican Presidential Primary and Caucus Calendar Still in Flux as Alabama Moves Their Contest Back

Bookmark and Share The 2012 Republican primary and caucus calendar is shaping up to be a mix of those who want their states be very early influencers of the Republican presidential nomination contests and those who are looking at a close contest that may break for one candidate or another with the help of their state later in the game.

Case in point. While Florida is ruffling feathers over moving their primary to January 31st, a move that would place it ahead of New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada and South Carolina, the four states which the RNC allows to have hold their primaries before March 1st. The move is forcing these four states to move their dates up but many believe that with the holiday season just wrapping up, it is better to allow voters in these states, the entire month of January to focus on the election.

Some Republican officials even threaten to punish Florida by denying the Sunshine State the opportunity to host the 2012 the National Convention as already determined. Instead, if Florida does not stick to the rules and hold their primary after March 1st, they would seek to hold the Republican national convention in another state.

But while Florida, New Hampshire Nevada, South Carolina and Iowa fight for early preeminence, other states like Alabama are moving their contests back. On Tuesday, Republican Representative Steve Clouse and others sponsored HB 32, a bill that moves the presidential preference primary from the 1st Tuesday in February to the 1st Tuesday in June. The Presidential and partisan primary would then be held concurrently on 5 June 2012.

From the perspective of White House 2012, while we have updated our tentative primary and caucus schedule to reflect the Alabama proposal, we are still sticking to the dates we have forecast. It is my opinion that these are the most likely dates that all of the contests will fall on especially since I believe it to be unlikely that Florida changes its date and that the RNC will pull the convention out of the state and hold the it elsewhere. What if any penalty they would encounter is unknown beyond stripping them of the 5 bonus delegates they are awarded for statewide elected office holders.

Meanwhile you can find the continuously updated White House 2012 Primary and Caucus Calendar here.

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Preliminary 2012 Presidential Primary and Caucus Schedule

UPDATE: This post was written nearly one year ago and since then there have been changes.  For a final calendar of the Caucus and primary dates visit the Election Schedule of White House 2012 by clicking here.

 
Bookmark and Share White House 2012 has compiled a preliminary, or perhaps a better phrase would be, a working calendar, of the 2012 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses.

This calendar has been established based upon the information available from numerous sources, calls to the offices of many sectretary of states and a mix of educated guesses based upon the likely conclusions of a great many factors affecting the political calender. It is important to reiterate that this is a preliminary calender and one must remember that as we speak , many states are developing or considering bills that will move their presidential primary or caucuses up or back a number of days or weeks.

The list compiled by White House 2012 also includes not only the tentaive date of the presidential contetsts but also the number of delegates up for grabs from each state and how the delegates are allocated. Some are winner-take-all contests. Some are open to registered voters from Parties other than the G.O.P.. All the variations are clarified in the new White House 2102 primary and caucus calender.

Someof the dates here are sure tol change and some states we have not even been able to yet iclude anywhere on the calendar because of too many conflicting reports and proposed state legislative or state Party date changes.

While the calender is included in this White House 2012 post, it will always be availlable to readers on its own page within White House 2012. That page can be found here or at: https://whitehouse2012.wordpress.com/election-schedul/. Check back frequently for it will be updated regularly.

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Preliminary2012 Presidential Primary Calendar

 

 

Monday, January 16th; 28 Delegates Up

  • Iowa 28 Caucus- Closed

Tuesday, January 21st; 23 Delegates Up

  • New Hampshire 23 Primary/Proportional -Modified

Saturday, January 28th: 73 Delegates Up

  • Nevada 23 Caucus Closed
  • South Carolina – 50 Primary/ Winner-Take-All Open

Tuesday, January 31st; 99 delegates Up

  • Florida 99 -Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed

Tuesday, February 7th; 680 Delegates Up

  • Alabama 50 Primary/Winner-Take-All Open
  • California 172 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Connecticut 28 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Delaware 17 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Georgia 75 Primary/Winner-Take-All Modified
  • Missouri -53 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • New Jersey 50 – Primary/Winner-Take-All – Modified
  • New York – 95 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Oklahoma – 43 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Tennessee – 58 Primary/Winner-Take-All (by district) Open
  • Utah – 39 Primary/Winner-Take-All Modified

Saturday, February 11th; 44 Delegates Up

  • Louisiana – 44 Primary/Proportional Closed

Tuesday, February 14th; 56 Delegates Up

  • Maryland 37 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Virginia – 49 Primary/Winner-Take-All Open

Tuesday, February 21st; 62 Delegates Up

  • Hawaii 20 Caucus Closed
  • Wisconsin – 42 -Primary/Winner-Take-All Open

Tuesday, February 28th; 66 Delegates Up

  • Arizona – 57 Primary/Winner-Take-All Closed
  • Michigan – 59 – Primary/Winner-Take-All Open

Tuesday, March 6th; –335Delegates Up

  • Minnesota 40 Caucus Open
  • Massachusetts – 41 Primary/Proportional Modified
  • Ohio – 66 Primary/Winner-Take-All Modified
  • Rhode Island – 19 – Primary/Proportional – Modified
  • Texas – 152 Primary/ Winner-Take-All (by district) – Open
  • Vermmont – 17 Primary/Winner-Take-All Open

Tuesday, March 13th; 37 delegates Up

  • Mississippi 37 Primary/Winner-Take-All (by district) Open

Tuesday, March 20th; 105 Delegates Up

  • Colorado – 36 Caucus Closed
  • Illinois – 69 Loophole Primary Open

Tuesday, April 24th; 72 Delegates Up

  • Pennsylvania 72 Loophole Primary Closed

Tuesday, May 8th; 132 Delegates Up

  • Indiana 46 Primary/Winner-Take-all Open
  • North Carolina 55 Primary/Proportional – Modified
  • West Virginia 31 Primary/Winner-Take-All Modified

Tuesday, May 15th; 64 Delegates Up

  • Nebraska – 35 Advisory Modified
  • Oregon 29 Primary/Proportional – Closed

Tuesday, May 27th; 113 Delegates Up

  • Arkansas 36 Primary/Proportional Open
  • Idaho – 32 Primary/Proportional Open
  • Kentucky – 45 Primary/ Proportional Closed

Tuesday, June 7th; – 57 Delegates Up

  • Montana – 26 Primary/ Winner-Take-All Open
  • New Mexico -23 Primary/Proportional Closed
  • South Dakota 28 Primary/Proportional Closed

Monday, August 27th Thursday, August 30th, 2012;

  • 40th National Republican Convention in Florida
 
 
Need to Nominate 1,211
(available) 2,421
Total 2,421
 
 

 

 

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Definition of Terms

  • *Proportional = Delgates are handed out based upon the percentage of their total votes
  • *Winner-Take-All = The winner takes all of the states delegates to the convention
  • *Winner-Take-All (by distrcit) = Delegates are handed out by the congressional districts candidates win in
  • *Open = Anyone feom any Party or unaffiliated registartion can vote in either the primary or caucus
  • *Modified = Only registered Republicans and Registered Independent or unafilated voters can vote in the primary or caucus
  • *Closed = Only registered Republicans can vote in the primary or caucus

 

How Delegate Counts Are Reached

  • Delegate counts are based on the number of Republicans elected to Governors chairs,the State Legislatures, U.S. Senators seats and, U.S. House seats. Republican unpledged delegate counts are determined by stateor party rules.
  • Republican penalities for violating the timing window are not included in these delegate tallies.
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