Texas Governor Rick Perry Could Be Surprise Late Entry in the Presidential Race

Bookmark and ShareIn reference to Texas Governor Rick Perry, back in January, White House 2012 wrote , “Governor Rick Perry has in the past, stated that he will not run for President. He probably meant it at the very moment of each specific time he said so. But politics is as changeable as the weather. A slight shift in a weather front could turn a sunny forecast into a cloudy day and for politicians the most modest alterations of political reality could change their mind on a dime.”

That statement was presented upon our disclosing that Governor Perry had apparently begun to do some polling outside of Texas. What those polls indicated are unknown. By law, the Governor and his camp,are not obliged to release those results unless they make any public reference to them. So far, no one from Team Perry has made any mention of them. Now, nearly four months later, Real Clear Politics reports that sources close to Governor Perry claim thathe sees a void in the Republican presidential field that he believes he can fill. In light off this sentiment, the Governor anticipates being called upon to seek the Republican presidential nomination. It is further reported that Perry has been examining the political environment within Iowa which holds the first in the nation presidential caucus.

Perry has repeatedly stated that he has no interest in running for President. But as noted by White House 2012, politicians can change their minds quite quickly. In Perry’s case though, it may not be so much a change of mind, as it is a change of chances. With all the talk about a so-called “weak” Republican field, Rick Perry, or at least those around him may feel that he has the record and personality that could fill what they see as an existing void and dominate the field. Such thinking would not be very far fetched. While I disagree with the notion that the still emerging Republican presidential field is weak, I do not deny that there is room for someone with natural and immediate star qualities to enter the race. Rick Perry has such star qualities. He is excellent on the campaign trail, easily likeable, and possesses a conservative record of successful policy initiatives and governance in Texas.

On the economy, Perry has presided over a state economy that is one of the strongest in the nation. He has cut taxes and spending and balanced its budget with a surplus left over. His strong positions on states rights once prompted him to evoke thoughts of secession, a thought that appeals to many who are fed up with a federal government that they see treading on their rights. His lead in opposing oppressive and constitutionally questionable federal EPA laws will also provide him with some mileage.

Perry is one of the few incumbent office holders who has a record that can still appeal to the anti-establishment, sentiments possessed by much of the TEA Party and the anti-government mentality that has often been the key to Republican electoral success (i.e.: Ronald Reagan). The only other potential candidate that can approach Perry’s appeal to both the political establishment and anti-establishment Tea Party elements, and who has a record on the economy as strong as Perry, is Indiana’s Mitch Daniels. That fact could account for these new murmurings from the Perry camp.

Mitch Daniels should be making his decision regarding a run for President any day now. If for some reason he declares that he will not be running in 2012, Perry may end up being the strongest possible surprise entry in to the 2012 Republican presidential nomination contest.

For months now, pundits and politicos have suggested that there may be some surprise entries in to the race. Conservative South Carolina Jim DeMint has gone so far as to say that he fully expects a surprising late candidacy to come from within the ranks of Republican Governors. Many have, and still continue to suggest that that person will be New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. I contend that short of a massive national draft effort unlike anything we have ever seen before combined with a total rejection of every Republican who winds up running for the nomination, Christie will not be running in 2012. Rick Perry however is a different story. If there is going to be any surprise late entry in this race it will be Perry. This will be even more likely to happen if Mitch Daniels surprises us by not running.

Bookmark and Share

Bookmark and Share On Friday, Texas Governor Rick Perry made for a very animated speaker who addressed the conservative Republican in a manner more conversational than oratorical. Yet what he may have lacked in poetic rhetoric, he more than made up for in a hard hitting discussion that struck at the heart of what troubles conservatives. As he put it, we are most bothered by an overly controlling federal government and deeply concerned with the federal governments willful neglect of their responsibilities.One such responsibility that he brought up was controlling our border. Perry said

Border security is one of Washington, D.C.s essential responsibilities. Yet they continue their record of abject failure in that area.

Perry also spoke of his love of the 10th Amendment which so poetically declares a faith in the government closest to the people is truly the best government. He added that a constitutionally limited government is one of the most critical aspects of our nation and of freedom. In one of his most eloquent remarks, Perry stated;

Our responsibility is to unite in ending the federal binds that tie our hands together and return to the visions of our founders.

He added;

We must handcuff the big spenders by simplifying our tax code and adopting a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution.

Along the way, Governor Perry, like several others who spoke before CPAC, held up Texas as

the one state in the nation all others should aspire to.

This was in large part due to its status as the state that stands as number one in job creation, a distinction that the rest of the nation is sorely in need of improving. Perry also took the opportunity to promote Texas, or rather his leadership in Texas, by comparing his record to the liberal record of our federal government and that between all their regulation, taxation and spending, tell the federal government, enough! and urged everyone to pick up their cell phones and text 95613 Fed UP and he will keep you tuned in to what were doing in Texas.

Perrys speech was well received and well delivered but I could not help but notice one thing. I can see onesuperficial but stillproblematicimagethata potential Perry presidential campaignis likely torun in to. There were many times when I could not help but see a lot of President G. W. Bush in Perry.Aside from the understandable and obvious similarities in syntax and accent, Perry exhibited mannerisms that just made him eerily similar to the former President. One especially noticeable mannerism was what I would call the Bush shrug. Now for me this is not a problem, but for more moderate and even left leaning voters, this may be a silly draw back.

But then again, I have seen Perry deliver many speeches in a more statesman-like style, His recent State of the state Address is one example. When he focuses on his delivery, he doesnt come across quite so Bush-like. He might want to consider that when and if he campaigns outside of the South, where unfortunately George W. Bush is more of a liability than a benefit. For them, its bad enough that Perry is from Texas.

Bookmark and Share

Texas Governor Rick Perry Eyes a 2012 Presidential Run

Bookmark and ShareGovernor Rick Perry has in the past, stated that he will not run for President. He probably meant it at the very moment of each specific time he said so. But politics is as changeable as the weather. A slight shift in a weather front could turn a sunny forecast into a cloudy day and for politicians the most modest alterations of political reality could change their mind on a dime. Hence the reason why Rick Perry has reportedlybegunpolling voters outside of Texas.

With less than a year before the first presidential nominating contest and at time when many contenders are preparing to kick off their campaigns, there is still no clear frontrunner or any one particular name that automatically jumps to the forefront. Furthermore, with the possibility of some of the best names choosing not to run, the field must be considered wide open. The popular Texas Governor is well aware of this.

For Governor Perry, changing his mind about a run for President in 2012 is a very real possibility. Based upon the current political priorities and attitudes in America, specificallyas they pertain to theeconomy, when it comes to the Republican presidential nomination, Rick Perry is not perfect but on paper, next to Mitch Daniels of Indiana, he is probably one of the best positioned elected officials there is for the job.

He starts off as the very popular Governor of the state with the second largest number of delegates to the Republican National Convention and a state that only three people have ever made it to the White House without winning in the general election. Then when you add to that his regional influence within the 13 Southern and border states, that gives you approximately 30% of the total delegate count to the national convention, a number which is more than half the total required to win the presidential nomination.

In addition to those beneficial built in numbers, Perry has a strong fundraising machine, one which could start raising money on a moments notice. Then there is the overall physical and personality appeal. While some potential candidates like Mitch Daniels and Tim Pawlenty convey unexciting political personas, Rick Perry is quite a presence on the stage. In addition to having a rugged, All-American, Marlboro Man-like look, he is an exciting speaker who conveys believable confidence and optimism to much of the electorate and most all of the TEA Party movement.

But among the most important aspects to the promise of a potential Perry candidacy are the issues. On every aspect of the majortopic of the day, the economy, Perry has a most appealing dossier of economic accomplishment for the great state of Texas. Perry’s state leads the nation in exports, business growth and job creation. Perry’s state has cut taxes and spending and balanced its budget with a surplus left over. His strong positions on states rights once prompted him to evoke thoughts of secession, a thought that appeals to many who are fed up with a federal government that they see treading on their rights. His lead in opposing oppressive and constitutionally questionable federal EPA laws will also provide him with some mileage.

Perry isone of the few incumbent office holders who has a record that can still appeal to the anti-establishment, sentiments possessed by much of the TEA Party and the anti-government mentality that has often been the key to Republican electoral success (i.e.: Ronald Reagan).

Overall, Rick Perry can not be underestimated. He has already made electoral history by becoming the only person to be elected to three consecutive terms as Governor of the Lone Star State. Former President George Bush was the first to be elected to just two consecutive terms as Governor. But there in lies one of Perry’s greatest hurdles. While he could easily be a very popular regional candidate in the South, outside of the South, any comparison to George W. Bush will make a substantial number of voters leery of electing another Texas Governor, President.

If Perry is as adept a campaigner on the national stage as he has been in Texas, he could marginalize the stigma attached to electing another Texas Governor so soon after President Bush. The hurdle is not insurmountable. Especially if the final Republican field lacks any candidates with the star quality and proven record Governor Perry possesses. If that is the case, I suspect that Rick Perry will be a late entry into the race and become a fresh face for the national press to focus in a field of rivals that will have then become old news.

And for those who are still unsure of Perry’s ability to appeal to the national electorate, just imagine the commerical below after it is tweeked for a presidential candidacy.

Bookmark and Share
%d bloggers like this: