Surprise! Michele Bachmann Announces She is Running for a Fouth Term to Congress

Bookmark and Share   Less than a month after ending her bid for the Republican presidential nomination, Minnesota Congresswoman Michel Bachmann announced that she will  seek a fourth term in Congress.

In an interview with The Associated Press, Bachmann stated;

“I’m looking forward to coming back and bringing a strong, powerful voice to Washington, D.C.,”

The announcement hardly came as a surprise and was anticipated by White House 2012 as far back as October of 2011 when I wrote “while Bachmann may indeed be sincere about her desire to run only for President, she knows very well that she will probably be running for reelection to the House.”

Despite being a little slow, even Ken Martin, chairman of Minnesota’s Democratic-Farmer Labor Party, who admitted the announcement wasn’t a surprise and he told the Associate Press  that his Party would take advantage of the time that Bachmann spent campaigning for President and attack he attack her for being absent from the district and for missing votes in Washington as she she pursued higher office.

Meanwhile, Bachman’s decision to drop out of the President race and run for reelection to her Minnesota congressional seat also came as little surprise to Minnesota Republicans.  Several likely likely successors had been preparing to replace her as the Republican nominee for her House seat, but none had actually officially declared their candidacies because they all accurately anticipated the set of circumstances which lead to Bachmann’s running for reelection.

As for who Democrats will run against Bachmann, that is still unclear.   While the Congresswoman has proved quite formidable in the past, she did only win by 53% in her last election, but at the same time she raised $13.5 million, a sum larger than that of any of her fellow House colleagues.  Another advantage Bachmann will have in her reelection effort is that her 2010 Democratic opponent, Tarryl Clark, has decided to challenge freshman Republican Rep. Chip Cravaack and will not attempt a rematch with Bachmann.  On the flip side, one disadvantage that Bachmann will have in 2012 is redistricting.  Her current district will have to shrink in size and how that is done through Gerrymandering could make her new district a more liberal one than she currently has.

In the final analysis, I think conservatives will be able to count on Michele Bachmann having their back in the next Congress.  Between her name I.D., fundraising strength, and tenacity as a campaigner, Bachmann should win at least a fourth term.   The question is, will she actually get sworn in, or might she just accept a cabinet position in the next Republican presidential Administration?

Bachmann is not very liked by the establishment Republican leadership in the House and it is quite possible that John Boehner might push the idea of appointing Bachmann to a semi-high position in the next Administration for no other reason than to get her out of their hair and avoid her rocking establishment boat.  It’s the type of thing that happens all the time and which I can easily see President Obama or President Gingrich saying to John Boehner, “alright, but you owe me big time for this one”.

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Mitt Romney Personally Thanks the 8 Voters Who Put Him Over the Top in Iowa

Bookmark and Share   Thanks to Jimmy Fallon for this one

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Groundhog Day Came to Iowa Early and Rick Santorum Saw His Shadow

Bookmark and Share   Iowa proved to be an incredibly dramatic opening contests for the Republican presidential nomination that even included the added suspense of missing and improperly recorded vote totals.  But by 2:30 in the morning, all was resolved and the results gave Mitt Romney a 8 vote victory.  The closeness of the race did not help Mitt Romney but it certainly helped Rick Santorum, the candidate who came from so far behind and so close to defeating Romney, that in the end Iowa really goes down in the books as more of a near loss for Romney than a real win.  And it was the incredible closeness of the race that changed everything, at least in the short term.

Several days prior to the Caucus, I correctly predicted the order in which the candidates would finish.  So the fact that Santorum finished second should not have been a total surprise.  But the fact that he came within 5 votes of winning is what changed everything.  As a result, contrary to other predictions, Iowa wound up mattering more than many expected, including myself. Exactly how much more though is up to Rick Santorum.

In addition to ending Michele Bachmann’s campaign and giving movement conservatives a chance to divide their vote up among fewer candidates, Iowa shifted the focus on to a new contender…..Rick Santorum.  But how much that matters depends upon Rick Santorum’s ability to capitalize on his new found fame.  If he fails to come out of New Hampshire and South Carolina stronger than he was going in to them, then Iowa’s impact on the nomination will prove to have been minimal.

The one thing we do know is that the strong showing they provided Rick Santorum with was a political version of Groundhog Day……not the movie, but the actual holiday.  Santorum, the former Senator from Pennsylvania, emerged from Iowa much like Punxsutawney  Phil, the famed Pennsylvania groundhog who the nation watches as he emerges from his burrow.  If he sees his shadow, it is said  to indicate that winter weather will last longer than we may want.  In Rick Santrorum’s case, his come from behind split decision in Iowa has cast a shadow on the Republican race which means that this nomination contest remains contested and will probably do so far longer than Republicans would like.

That situation was arrived at due to both Romney and Santorum.

In addition to running a strong campaign that was waged on principle, persistence, and elbow grease, Santorum never became the type of target that everyone who surged to the top found themselves to become. This helped him win voters over and keep them in his column.  Had Santorum surged to the top like Newt Gingrich did weeks before voting began, he probably would have fallen victim to the same circumstances of those before him and now he will have a hard time proving that he can withstand such scrutiny.

As for Romney, although he technically won, to really win, he needed to stun Republicans with a strong first place finish with 30 or more percent of the vote.  That would have changed the entire storyline coming out of Iowa.  Instead of Rick Santorum being the main focus of the results, the real headline would have been that Mitt Romney finally exceeded the 25% ceiling of support that has become his greatest hurdle.  And he would have done so in a state where he was hardly considered a favorite.  Instead, not only did Romney almost lose to someone who was in the single digits a week before the caucuses, he actually won with 6 votes less than he received in 2008 when he came in second to Mike Huckabee.  In 2008, Romney received 25.19% of the Iowa Caucus vote, just about the same as he did this time, but the raw total was 30,021 votes.  In yesterday’ s caucus Romney won with 30, 015 votes.

Given that this was Romney’s second time around and he actually lost support, last night was really  not a win for him.  In the end, all that Iowa did for Romney was confirm that Republicans are still not excited about him and would like a better candidate.

So the race goes on and Romney is poised to become the first non-incumbent Republican presidential candidate to ‘technically’ win Iowa and New Hampshire.  The problem is that between the reality of his poor showing in Iowa relative to Rick Santorum’s near defeat of him, and  Romney’s win in new Hampshire being considered a given, those victories may not provide Mitt with the momentum he needs to assure himself of a win in South Carolina where Mitt may find himself either in his last stand or finally on course to winning the nomination.

Newt Gingrich, who currently leads in New Hampshire has been trying to build a firewall in South Carolina in the hope of finally establishing himself as the alternative to Romney.  And Newt is looking for a fight with Mitt and is ready to provide him with some payback for all the negative ads that he believes Romney is behind.

Then there is Rick Perry.

Perry had time to sleep on his fifth place finish in Iowa and while he headed to bed with thoughts of ending his campaign dancing in his head, he woke up ready to fight and even Tweeted a battle cry that declared he is moving on to the Palmetto State.

And not to be Rick-rolled will be the other Rick, Rick Santorum, the new great conservative hope.

If Santorum can run strong enough in South Carolina to prevent Perry and Gingrich from getting out of the single digits or mid teens, at least one of the two will drop out and give Santorum the opportunity to bring their numbers in to his vote totals in the Florida primary which immediately follows South Carolina.

As for Ron Paul, given how far out of the mainstream his national security policies are and given his lack of  legislative accomplishments in almost two decades in Congress, in order for him to have a major impact on future primary nomination contests, he needed a big win in Iowa.  Add to that the buzz about polls which showed him actually in first place over the course of the weekend prior to the Caucus, and what you have is a candidate who failed to live up to expectations, and failed to meet a level of support that would have helped him overcome his perceived electability problems.  Although Ron Paul ran well and his strong showing can not be denied, it was not strong enough to help him gain the type of traction that he needs.   As a result, Ron Paul’s 22% percent in Iowa was probably his high watermark and from here on out, while he will remain a presence in the race, his impact on it will be about as significant as it was in his previous two runs for President.

Meanwhile the immediate effects of Iowa are apparent.

Since last night, interest in Santorum reached such heights that his website crashed and he collected $1 million in donations.   That is a good indication of just how his strong showing in Iowa has indeed provided him with the opportunity to become the real viable alternative to Romney that many have been looking for.

Another good sign for Santorum is that several national evangelical leaders have decided to get together and determine which of the remaining candidates they can all get behind in an attempt to be certain that Romney is denied the Republican nomination.  Given the circumstances, at the moment, Santorum would seem to be the most likely beneficiary of such an alliance.

At the moment I am not sure what will happen.  I have a feeling that while Rick Santorum may now be considered the Great Conservative Hope, he will ultimately be like another great hope……Duane Bobick, the 197o’s boxing star who was jokingly refered to as the “Great White Hope”.   Back in 1977, the biggest sporting event of the year became a much anticipated match between Bobick and future legend Ken Norton.  Bobick had a a 38-0 record with 32 KO’s and when he entered the ring with Norton, millions were anticipating an epic fight between two extraordinary athletes.   Less than 40 seconds in to the first round, Norton landed  an overhand right to Bobick’s throat and after just one minute into the fight Bobick was counted out.  A large part of me believes that this is Romney’s nomination and that Santorum will be the Duane Bobick of presidential politics.

Romney is still best poised to lock up the nomination soon after Florida.  However; if the inevitability of a Romney candidacy becomes so obvious, and triggers the far right base of the G.O.P. to finally unite behind one candidate in an attempt to stop Romney, this could be either a long, drawn out battle or a quick turning of the tables.  My biggest fear is that if conservatives really can not accept Mitt Romney and do not settle on who his one opponent should be, we could just find ourselves with the first brokered convention since 1976.

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Watch One Iowa Caucus Precinct Via Live Stream

Bookmark and Share    Take the time to see the Caucus process live via a live stream feed of  one Iowa Caucus precinct.

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Alan Colmes Teaches Liberals That Dead Baby Jokes Are Neither Funny or Appropriate Political Discourse

Bookmark and Share   Most people probably only know who Alan Colmes is when they are reminded that he was the liberal sidekick to Sean Hannity on what use to be the Fox News program called Hannity and Colmes.

Colmes got sick of being ideologically and personally overshadowed by Hannity and eventually the show became known as “Hannity” and Alan Colmes tried to make a difference on his own.

He didn’t.

But he is still trying.  Which is why today during an interview regarding  the Republican presidential race, Alan Colmes tried to mock Republicans based on the ever changing frontrunner status of their candidates.  Colmes tried to claim that the G.O.P. field is an extremely weak one and everytime the spotlight gets focussed on one of them, they can’t stand up to the scrutiny.

Colmes then claimed that Rick Santorum is the most recent example and added that when people find out that he took home his dead baby and played with it for two hours, they will find that Santorum is too weird for their liking. [ See the actual interview below this post.]

Colmes actual words were;

“Once they get a hold of the crazy things he’s said and done like taking his two-hour old baby who died right after childbirth home and played with it for a couple of hours so his other children would know that the child was real.”

The reference was to the Santorum families painful loss when Rick and his wife Karen were told by their doctor that an ultrasound revealed their unborn baby Gabriel had a fatal defect and was going to die.

But Gabriel was born alive;

Santorum once reflected on the personal, family tragedy by saying;

“For two hours he lived a life that knew only love.”

The same Fox News segment that hosted Colmes during his ugly remarks, also had National Review writer Rich Lowry on and after Colmes made the outrageous statement, Lowry took Colmes to task and stated;

“That’s a cheap shot, Alan. To say it’s crazy, something that’s that personal and hurtful as losing a child and to mock it like that is beyond the pale and beneath you. I even think some of the dastardly characters we have in the main stream media are not going to go as low as you just have Alan.”

Colmes defended his statement during the rest of the interview and stuck to his guns claiming that his remarks were perfectly legitimate commentary.  But by late 8:00 pm, Colmes liberal brain finally caught up with his mouth and he phoned the Santorum’s to make a formal apology and he tweeted the following:

Rick and Karen Santorum may have accepted the apology and ultimately that is all that really matters.  But I have to tell you that I am unfortunately not so easy to forgive.  It is not impossible for me, especially since I know that I myself am in need of forgiveness when I demonstrate my own lack of judgement.  However I am not going to be able to easily forget the tactic that Alan Colmes tried to get away with here.

It was another fine example of just how truly ugly liberals are willing to get in this election.  It is clear to me that with a President  representing them at the top of the ticket, with a record Democrats can not run on and in many instances will have to run away from, they will have no qualms about resorting to some of the most despicable and disgraceful tactics that we have seen in presidential history.  Their tastelessness will not prevent them from doing anything it takes to win, be it mocking ones faith……something that will be of particular importance if Mormon Mitt Romney wins the nomination, to dead baby jokes, nothing will be off limits to the mainstream liberals like Alan Colmes who represent today’s Democratic Party.

Ultimately, if Rick and Karen Santrorum can forgive Alan Colmes for his unbelievably outrageous comments, than we all can.  But like the symbol of our Party, we don’t ever have to forget.

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Gingrich Predicts His Own Loss in Iowa and Bachmann Hopes for a Miracle

Bookmark and Share   After more than six weeks as the candidate with the target on his back and nearly 10 million dollars in negative ads against him, New Gingrich saw his Iowa poll numbers fall from a near 30% to his current standing in the mid teens.

The loss of just about half of his support has led Newt to admit now that he is not likely to win the Iowa Caucus but at the same time, he believes that a likely third or even fourth place showing will still it make him possible for him to remain competitive beyond the Hawkeye State’s nomination contest.

That assessment is actually true, but short of a first or second place showing, Newt’s future viability will rely on two things.  First, he must hope that if Mitt Romney wins, he does not win by very much.  Then Newt must hope for a third place showing.  While a fouth place finish will not derail his candidacy, it will make fundraising and the establishment of momentum quite an uphill battle as he moves ahead.

If Newt can fisinsh third or second and keep Romney from winning by a very large margin, he will remain competetive and may be come the benefiicary of an anti-Romney phenomenom.

If opposition to Romney is as strong among conservatives as many believe, victories in Iowa and New Hampshire could finally force the anti-Romney vote to charge behind one final alternative to Romney.  Newt is in the best position to be that alternative candidate but anything less than a fourth place finish in Iowa will make that impossible.

Meanwhile Michele Bachmann says “We’re believing in a miracle because we know, I know, the one who gives miracles,” .

At Oral Roberts University, Bachmann’s alma mater she told ABC ;

“We’re going to see an astounding result on Tuesday night — miraculous,”

Current polling has apparently forced both Bachmann and Gingrich to be unconditionally honest about the results tomorrow, for under the circumstances, Bachmann does in fact need a miracle to pull off a finish above 6th place.  For Gingrich, given the nearly 41 percent of Iowa caucus goers who remain undecided on the eve of the contest, a better than expected showing is not out of the question and as a Gingrich supporter a biased optimism has me still believing that he could surprise everyone with a third or second place finish.  However, when factoring in current voter trends, Newt’s poorly run campaign and lack of an organization on the ground, along with the undeniable momentum behind Rick Santorum, logic would dictate that Newt is right.  He will not win the caucus tomorrow night.

As for the other candidates, Ron Paul is seeing the helium in his balloon be overwhelmed as the weight of the oxygen in the atmosphere surrounding the reality of his reckless national security views and general unelectability brings his number back to the floor.  In an early afternoon speech to supporters, Paul reminded his fans that the Caucus will involve small numbers of people but the message they send will be a big one and he urged his supporters to stick together and be sure to show up at their proper caucus locations.

Mitt Romney spent most of the day trying to remain focussed on the one person which unites him and his rivals together in their desire to defeat in  November…..Barack Obama.  That focus was designed to play on the perception that he is the one Republican who has the best chance of actually being the one who can defeat Obama.  The hope there is that as Romney solidifies his frontrunner status in Iowa, there is a good chance that the large undecided bloc of voters will break in his favor and provide him not only with a win, but a bigger than expected win that could make it  possible to wrap up the nomination sooner rather than later.

Rick Perry, the wildcard going in to tomorrow night, spent his time on the campaign trail trying to make sure that his supporters don’t jump ship and while trying to also give those caught up in the surge for Rick Santorum  reason to think twice about actually casting their ballots for the wrong Rick.  A new Perry ad attacks Santorum for his willingness to defend pork barrel spending.

Perry goes in to tomorrow night as the spoiler.  Between his heavy ad buy and a good deal of retail political campaigning in Iowa, he remains the one candidate left who could perform better than expected and could benefit from a surge that has gone undetected by the polls.  The strength of such an undetected surge will not be enough to allow Perry to finish in one the top two or three positions, but he could pull the type of numbers that may prevent people like Sanoturm and Gingrich from outpolling Ron Paul.

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Ron Paul’s Newest AD: Don’t Try To Win Over Republicans With Support from Liberals

Bookmark and Share   I am not known for being very kind to the political opposition, but since it is a new year, I thought I would give it a shot by doing a nice thing for Ron Paul and give him some good advice.

On this, the eve of the Iowa Caucuses, I think he should know that he is actually running for President in the Republican Caucuses, not the Democratic Caucus.  That said, I would advise Dr. Paul rethink his latest ad in Iowa.

It consists of several infamous liberals who praise Ron Paul as the best guy running.

Now, the ad might be worthwhile  if the 12 term congressman was challenging President Obama for the Democratic nomination in the Iowa Caucuses, but he isn’t.  So why Ron Paul chooses to run an ad featuring the praise of beloved liberals like Bill Press, and the gnome-like communist sympathizer Jonathon Alter, is more than just bad judgement, it is totally counterproductive to any attempt at winning over Republicans.

Then again, Ron Paul may have just begun to realize that he has a better chance of winning over liberals and Occupy protesters, than real Republicans, hence the pitch from liberal media icons.

The liberal endorsements aside, the ad tries to claim that Ron Paul is the only politician who can be trusted and the only one who has is consistent in his beliefs.  What the ad does not tell you is that Ron Paul is the only politician who has spent nearly two decades in office and failed to accomplish anything.  He has failed to build any working coalitions that could make it possible for him to advance any of his lofty promises to reduce the size of government.  He has failed to ever gain either the public or political support to limit federal spending or any pass any of either his rational or irrational beliefs.

The ad also fails to address the hypocrisy and inconsistencies of Dr. Paul’s political career such as his long record of participation in the pork process that he denounces and his support for term limits for others but not for himself.

But I can understand why a politician like Paul would not want to tell the truth about his record.   And with a record like Ron Paul’s I can also understand why he can only find quotes that come from prominent liberals that he can use to make himself look good.   Yet in my attempt to be kinder and gentler to Ron Paul and his soon to be disappointed kool aid swilling fans, I must advise his campaign that this ad does not help him.

Aside from using music and production backgrounds and cuts that a reminiscent of the New york Times genre ads for their “weekender” subscription package, using people like Press and Alter do not make the case for Paul among conservatives and Republicans, it presents a the start of a great case against his candidacy for anything.

So in 2016, when at age 82, Ron Paul makes his fourth failed attempt for President, maybe he’ll remember to reserve his use of liberal endorsements for the liberal nomination.  In fact let me be a really nice guy and suggest that next time, Ron Paul should just go and run for the Democratic presidential nomination.   It make it much easier for his liberal and Democrat supporters.  They won’t have to temporarily switch their Party registration to that of Republican, only to switch back to their liberal Party of origin six months later.

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