Fundraising Apples and Oranges

The media is shocked to see the pronounced dead TEA Party raking in cash.  They shouldn’t be.  At the same time, the media is making hay out of Obama contributions compared to Romney’s.  This is a false comparison.  Romney fundraising compared to Obama fundraising is apples and oranges.  Here’s why:

Romney has not positioned himself as an inspiring political figure.  He hasn’t made the election about himself.  He has made it about Obama’s record.  In fact, it should be no surprise at all at all that TEA Party conservatives who consistently split their vote in the primaries for the non-Romney candidates would rather give to the TEA Party than to Romney.  Have no fear, they will vote non-Obama in November.

Obama on the other hand is one of the few inspiring characters left in the Democrat party.  Don’t expect massive donations to a DNC run by Debbie Wasserman-Schultz.  Don’t expect people to be inspired to give when they see Nancy Pelosi or Harry Reid’s face.  But when Obama starts flashing Forward and talking about how nobody believed in America but him and how he shot Bin Laden and brought our troops home from Iraq, that sells.  Democrats aren’t going to shell out for DNC 2012 congressional elections or DNC superpacs, but they’ll buy Obama T-shirts and bumper stickers and pay for a one in a million shot at having a dinner with the President.

When political commentators measure campaign cash, really they should compare Obama to generic conservative groups and Romney to DNC pacs and superpacs.  In the end, the people who vote for Obama in 2012 will probably vote “D” down the line, and the people who contribute to the TEA Party and other Republican groups will show up to vote against Obama.

Newt and Palin Focus on Obama

The match seems to be set, Mitt Romney versus Rick Perry.  At least for the media, who thought Huntsman was the sure nominee, these two are it.  Fortunately, other candidates are maintaining their focus on Obama.  As I said from the beginning, the biggest disaster in this campaign would be for second tier and runner up candidates to so badly trash the candidate who ends up being our nominee that Obama will win.  Obama faces no primary challenger, though he is doing plenty of damage to himself.

Palin, who remains undeclared, took a chance to shoot a message directly to union workers.  Over the labor day weekend, Obama was introduced with Jimmy Hoffa, Jr. who now infamously called unions Obama’s “army”, declared them to be in a war on the TEA party and offered to “take those sons of bitches out”.  The President in the meantime, as part of his leading from behind strategy, has accepted Hoffa’s remarks and done nothing to tone down the union thug’s rhetoric.

Palin wrote directly to union members.  It reminded me of when Bush would address the citizens of Iran.  Palin highlighted her past union experience and current relations who are union members.  She then focused on the corruption in union leadership and how they are using union laborers to pad their own pockets and get Obama re-elected.  But, Palin points out, workers are looking for someone with a plan to save America, not just get the union guy re-elected.

Meanwhile, in his weekly e-newsletter, Newt Gingrich went after the administration for their armed assault on the Gibson Guitar factory.  For the second time since Obama’s administration took over, armed federal agents have raided Gibson for perceived violations of the Lacey Act, designed to prevent importing illegal materials.  In both cases, inventory and computers were seized.  Gibson has not been able to recover these materials because the Justice Department has yet to file any charges.  In fact, the owner says that one of the agents told him during the raid that he would have better luck moving his operations overseas.

Newt pulls no punches calling this armed raid on a law abiding American company insanity, especially when good jobs are so hard to find.  Newt also asks the question, why aren’t these armed agents protecting our border?

The media is doing their best to portray some sort of animosity between Perry and Romney, just like they tried to do with Bachmann and Palin a few months ago.  But the success of any GOP primary campaign in 2012 is going to come from having a real plan that Americans can take hold of and focusing any negative energy on Obama, not each other.  If they can’t manage that, they need to take the honorable way out like Pawlenty did.

Trumped

In the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, Donald Trump ties Mike Huckabee for second place.

Trump has developed an early reputation in this race as a hard hitting, brutally honest, hawk with a plan to restore respect for America on the world stage. He has already promised the ability to whip our enemies, and allies, into shape through tough foreign policy.

Could he be a contender?

There is a grass roots website set up now to recruit supporters for Trump called Should Trump Run. This website has video from the desk of the Donald, along with his interviews with various news organizations. Trump has also found easy access among conservative radio and tv hosts.

With Trump’s outspoken campaign thusfar, many Republicans may be hoping he runs, even if they don’t plan on voting for him themselves. Trump is the only candidate with the clout, confidence, and sufficient lack of political reputation to question Obama’s birth certificate and get away with it.

I view Trump more as a bull in a china shop. They may draw a crowd, and can do a great deal of damage. But in the end, they never actually end up buying anything. My hope is that Trump can keep his focus on Obama and his brutal honesty where it will do conservatism the most good; not sniping at other potential GOP’ers.

And before Trumpites get too excited, Romney still came in a comfortable first in this poll.

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